ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
80-90% chance of victory:
2 Alabama over 144 Utah State 63.0 to 10.5
8 Oklahoma over 206 Texas - El Paso 59.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
56 Fresno State over 219 California Poly 56.0 to 24.5
39 Minnesota over 196 New Mexico State 49.0 to 10.5
86 Toledo over 251 Long Island 59.5 to 24.5
22 Wake Forest over 165 Virginia Military 63.0 to 35.0
61 Villanova over 233 Lehigh 49.0 to 14.0
131 Austin Peay over 261 Presbyterian 66.5 to 24.5
30 California - Los Angeles over 189 Bowling Green 59.5 to 24.5
47 Eastern Washington over 224 Tennessee State 63.0 to 28.0
80 Western Kentucky over 236 Hawaii 52.5 to 21.0
14 Iowa State over 185 Southeast Missouri State 56.0 to 21.0
12 James Madison over 130 Middle Tennessee State 56.0 to 21.0
34 Miami - Florida over 223 Bethune - Cookman 63.0 to 24.5
4 Michigan over 126 Colorado State 56.0 to 21.0
84 Montana over 246 Northwestern State 56.0 to 17.5
11 North Dakota State over 250 Drake 56.0 to 10.5
24 Texas over 177 Northeast Louisiana 63.0 to 24.5
110 Tulane over 235 Massachusetts 56.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
208 Abilene Christian over 255 Lamar 45.5 to 24.5
190 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 220 Akron 42.0 to 28.0
92 Alabama - Birmingham over 205 Alabama A&M 52.5 to 31.5
41 Arizona State over 181 Northern Arizona 52.5 to 24.5
66 Central Florida over 187 South Carolina State 49.0 to 24.5
77 Missouri over 154 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 35.0
120 Northern Illinois over 245 Eastern Illinois 49.0 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma State over 95 Central Michigan 49.0 to 24.5
16 Pittsburgh over 60 West Virginia 42.0 to 28.0
81 Kennesaw State over 164 Samford 52.5 to 38.5
27 Tennessee over 128 Ball State 52.5 to 31.5
140 Tennessee - Martin over 170 Western Illinois 45.5 to 35.0
160 Fordham over 257 Wagner 49.0 to 28.0
150 Duke over 201 Temple 42.0 to 31.5
157 Kansas over 239 Tennessee Tech 45.5 to 35.0
19 Michigan State over 87 Western Michigan 49.0 to 31.5
122 William & Mary over 210 North Carolina - Charlot 45.5 to 21.0
85 Virginia Tech over 139 Old Dominion 42.0 to 31.5
213 Alcorn State over 217 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 28.0
23 Auburn over 105 Mercer 42.0 to 28.0
18 Baylor over 155 Albany 45.5 to 21.0
142 Towson over 252 Bucknell 45.5 to 21.0
173 Charleston Southern over 184 Western Carolina 45.5 to 38.5
28 North Carolina State over 91 East Carolina 42.0 to 31.5
1 Georgia over 21 Oregon 49.0 to 24.5
168 Georgia Southern over 248 Morgan State 42.0 to 24.5
203 Hampton over 253 Howard 42.0 to 24.5
79 Southern Illinois over 136 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 38.5
111 Jacksonville State over 186 Davidson 49.0 to 35.0
36 Kansas State over 97 South Dakota 38.5 to 28.0
29 Kentucky over 109 Miami - Ohio 45.5 to 24.5
45 Louisiana - Lafayette over 104 Southeast Louisiana 49.0 to 38.5
83 Marshall over 198 Norfolk State 49.0 to 28.0
64 Maryland over 118 Buffalo 45.5 to 35.0
20 Mississippi over 151 Troy State 52.5 to 24.5
44 Mississippi State over 90 Memphis 42.0 to 31.5
63 Montana State over 188 McNeese State 45.5 to 17.5
74 Nebraska over 115 North Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
127 Nevada - Reno over 180 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 21.0
124 Maine over 178 New Mexico 42.0 to 24.5
55 Southern Methodist over 114 North Texas 45.5 to 35.0
226 Northern Colorado over 260 Houston Baptist 52.5 to 28.0
3 Ohio State over 5 Notre Dame 49.0 to 38.5
199 Prairie View over 244 Texas Southern 52.5 to 35.0
58 San Diego State over 135 Arizona 42.0 to 24.5
88 South Carolina over 112 Georgia State 42.0 to 31.5
31 Brigham Young over 141 South Florida 49.0 to 31.5
54 Southern California over 182 Rice 52.5 to 24.5
73 Liberty over 192 Southern Mississippi 45.5 to 28.0
102 Stanford over 204 Colgate 42.0 to 24.5
134 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 193 Wofford 38.5 to 24.5
40 Houston over 93 Texas - San Antonio 45.5 to 38.5
17 Texas A&M over 98 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 28.0
68 Texas Tech over 218 Murray State 52.5 to 24.5
32 Vanderbilt over 119 Elon 42.0 to 31.5
57 Virginia over 121 Richmond 45.5 to 35.0
62 Washington over 129 Kent State 49.0 to 28.0
49 Washington State over 171 Idaho 49.0 to 24.5
13 Wisconsin over 137 Illinois State 42.0 to 17.5
78 Tulsa over 169 Wyoming 38.5 to 21.0
138 Youngstown State over 209 Duquesne 42.0 to 24.5
1 Georgia over 21 Oregon 45.5 to 24.5
158 North Carolina A&T over 225 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 28.0
10 Clemson over 113 Georgia Tech 49.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
175 Campbell over 202 The Citadel 42.0 to 31.5
99 Missouri State over 162 Central Arkansas 49.0 to 42.0
200 Bryant over 212 Florida International 42.0 to 35.0
166 Indiana State over 195 North Alabama 42.0 to 31.5
159 New Hampshire over 132 Monmouth 35.0 to 35.0
15 Penn State over 33 Purdue 35.0 to 35.0
147 San Jose State over 156 Portland State 35.0 to 35.0
234 Saint Thomas - Minnesota over 222 Southern Utah 42.0 to 38.5
146 Stony Brook over 153 Rhode Island 38.5 to 28.0
227 Tarleton State over 247 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 38.5
70 Texas Christian over 94 Colorado 38.5 to 35.0
123 Eastern Michigan over 161 Eastern Kentucky 42.0 to 35.0
52 Illinois over 96 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
50 Air Force over 69 Northern Iowa 28.0 to 28.0
43 North Carolina over 48 Appalachian State 45.5 to 45.5
6 Cincinnati over 26 Arkansas 42.0 to 35.0
174 Arkansas State over 230 Grambling 42.0 to 35.0
89 Boston College over 107 Rutgers 35.0 to 28.0
75 California over 116 California - Davis 35.0 to 28.0
53 Coastal Carolina over 67 Army 42.0 to 35.0
207 Central Connecticut over 179 Connecticut 35.0 to 31.5
7 Utah over 42 Florida 42.0 to 38.5
25 Iowa over 37 South Dakota State 35.0 to 31.5
176 Sacred Heart over 211 Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5
249 Marist over 228 Georgetown 31.5 to 31.5
117 Navy over 148 Delaware 31.5 to 28.0
101 Florida Atlantic over 152 Ohio 35.0 to 31.5
46 Oregon State over 35 Boise State 38.5 to 38.5
215 Dayton over 216 Robert Morris 42.0 to 42.0
145 Nicholls State over 163 South Alabama 38.5 to 31.5
59 Louisville over 100 Syracuse 38.5 to 35.0
183 Jackson State over 172 Florida A&M 31.5 to 28.0
38 Louisiana State over 51 Florida State 35.0 to 35.0
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