ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
72 Boise State over 129 North Texas 38.5 to 24.5
68 Marshall over 157 Connecticut 28.0 to 10.5
14 Louisiana State over 51 Purdue 35.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
38 North Dakota State over 25 Incarnate Word 49.0 to 38.5
102 Jackson State over 154 North Carolina Central 35.0 to 24.5
138 Southern Mississippi over 182 Rice 31.5 to 21.0
99 San Jose State over 130 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
27 Wake Forest over 48 Missouri 38.5 to 31.5
81 Memphis over 124 Utah State 35.0 to 28.0
49 Arkansas over 55 Kansas 42.0 to 31.5
11 Florida State over 24 Oklahoma 38.5 to 31.5
26 Minnesota over 61 Syracuse 28.0 to 21.0
8 Texas over 16 Washington 38.5 to 28.0
13 Notre Dame over 39 South Carolina 35.0 to 24.5
4 Tennessee over 15 Clemson 42.0 to 31.5
3 Michigan over 5 Texas Christian 38.5 to 31.5
12 Southern California over 29 Tulane 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
103 Alabama - Birmingham over 139 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
60 Texas - San Antonio over 65 Troy State 28.0 to 28.0
33 South Dakota State over 17 Montana State 38.5 to 35.0
19 Louisville over 47 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
22 Oregon State over 37 Florida 35.0 to 31.5
34 Washington State over 58 Fresno State 28.0 to 24.5
20 Baylor over 66 Air Force 28.0 to 21.0
64 Houston over 94 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 31.5
111 San Diego State over 127 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
141 New Mexico State over 166 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
88 East Carolina over 105 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 31.5
35 Wisconsin over 40 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 24.5
50 Central Florida over 59 Duke 35.0 to 31.5
18 Oregon over 45 North Carolina 42.0 to 35.0
31 Mississippi over 28 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0
100 Ohio over 134 Wyoming 28.0 to 24.5
7 Alabama over 6 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0
1 Georgia over 2 Ohio State 35.0 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
79 Brigham Young over 73 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 38.5
106 Liberty over 121 Toledo 31.5 to 28.0
62 South Alabama over 83 Western Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
109 Georgia Southern over 135 Buffalo 35.0 to 31.5
32 Pittsburgh over 41 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 35.0
46 North Carolina State over 44 Maryland 24.5 to 21.0
36 Kentucky over 43 Iowa 17.5 to 14.0
23 Mississippi State over 21 Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
10 Utah over 9 Penn State 28.0 to 28.0
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