2023 Week 3 (14-16 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Alabama                    over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Arizona                    over  Texas - El Paso            rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Arkansas State             over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Auburn                     over  Samford                    rounded predicted score:  73.5-17.5
   Austin Peay                over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Ball State                 over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Baylor                     over  Long Island                rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   California - Los Angeles   over  North Carolina Central     rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   California                 over  Idaho                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Central Florida            over  Villanova                  rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Cincinnati                 over  Miami - Ohio               rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Clemson                    over  Florida Atlantic           rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Coastal Carolina           over  Duquesne                   rounded predicted score:  56.0-17.5
   Elon                       over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Florida State              over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  59.5-21.0
   Furman                     over  Kennesaw State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Georgetown                 over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Georgia                    over  South Carolina             rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Harvard                    over  Saint Thomas - Minnesota   rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Howard                     over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Iowa                       over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  42.0-10.5
   Kansas State               over  Missouri                   rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Kansas                     over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  52.5-21.0
   Kent State                 over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Louisville                 over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Memphis                    over  Navy                       rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Miami - Florida            over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  70.0-14.0
   Michigan                   over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Mississippi                over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Montana State              over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  66.5-21.0
   Morgan State               over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   New Hampshire              over  Dartmouth                  rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   North Carolina State       over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  56.0-10.5
   North Dakota State         over  Central Arkansas           rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Northern Arizona           over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Notre Dame                 over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Ohio State                 over  Western Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Oklahoma                   over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Oregon State               over  San Diego State            rounded predicted score:  56.0-14.0
   Oregon                     over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  56.0-21.0
   Rice                       over  Texas Southern             rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Richmond                   over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Rutgers                    over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Sacred Heart               over  Wagner                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   South Dakota State         over  Drake                      rounded predicted score:  52.5-14.0
   Southern Methodist         over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  73.5-21.0
   Temple                     over  Norfolk State              rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  49.0-14.0
   Texas A&M                  over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Texas Tech                 over  Tarleton State             rounded predicted score:  52.5-24.5
   Texas                      over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Tulane                     over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Utah                       over  Weber State                rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Washington State           over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  73.5-14.0
   William & Mary             over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Wisconsin                  over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Wofford                    over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Youngstown State           over  Robert Morris              rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   Appalachian State          over  East Carolina              rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Boise State                over  North Dakota               rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Bryant                     over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Colorado                   over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Kentucky                   over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Maryland                   over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Middle Tennessee State     over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Nebraska                   over  Northern Illinois          rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Princeton                  over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Stanford                   over  Sacramento State           rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Stephen F. Austin          over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Syracuse                   over  Purdue                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Tennessee - Chattanooga    over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Texas State - San Marcos   over  Jackson State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   California - Davis         over  Southern Utah              rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Davidson                   over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Delaware                   over  Saint Francis - Pennsylva  rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Duke                       over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Eastern Kentucky           over  Western Carolina           rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Eastern Michigan           over  Massachusetts              rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Gardner - Webb             over  Tennessee State            rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Georgia State              over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Lafayette                  over  Columbia                   rounded predicted score:  14.0-7.0
   Liberty                    over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Merrimack                  over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   North Carolina             over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Oklahoma State             over  South Alabama              rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Penn State                 over  Illinois                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Pennsylvania               over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Rhode Island               over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   South Dakota               over  Lamar                      rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Tennessee                  over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Texas - San Antonio        over  Army                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Wake Forest                over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Washington                 over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  Utah State                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Arkansas                   over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Campbell                   over  Monmouth                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Connecticut                over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Incarnate Word             over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Iowa State                 over  Ohio                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Louisiana Tech             over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Mississippi State          over  Louisiana State            rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   North Alabama              over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Pittsburgh                 over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Southern                   over  Alabama A&M                rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Toledo                     over  San Jose State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Troy State                 over  James Madison              rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0

50-60% chance of victory:

   Alabama - Birmingham       over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Alcorn State               over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Cornell                    over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Eastern Washington         over  Southeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Fresno State               over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Houston                    over  Texas Christian            rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   Illinois State             over  Eastern Illinois           rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   New Mexico                 over  New Mexico State           rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Northern Iowa              over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Southern Illinois          over  Southeast Missouri State   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Western Illinois           over  Lindenwood                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Yale                       over  Holy Cross                 rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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