2023 Week 5 (28-30 Sep) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  San Diego State            rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   Alabama                    over  Mississippi State          rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Austin Peay                over  Lindenwood                 rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Brown                      over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   California - Davis         over  California Poly            rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   California                 over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Central Florida            over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Colorado State             over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Davidson                   over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Florida A&M                over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Fordham                    over  Georgetown                 rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Fresno State               over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Lafayette                  over  Bucknell                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-7.0
   Lamar                      over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Marshall                   over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Michigan                   over  Nebraska                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Montana State              over  Portland State             rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   New Hampshire              over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   North Dakota State         over  South Dakota               rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Oklahoma                   over  Iowa State                 rounded predicted score:  49.0-14.0
   Oregon                     over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  52.5-17.5
   Penn State                 over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Rutgers                    over  Wagner                     rounded predicted score:  56.0-10.5
   Sacramento State           over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Samford                    over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Southern Methodist         over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Stephen F. Austin          over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Tulane                     over  Alabama - Birmingham       rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Washington                 over  Arizona                    rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Weber State                over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Western Carolina           over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  49.0-14.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   Alabama State              over  Alcorn State               rounded predicted score:  24.5-7.0
   Appalachian State          over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Boston College             over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Central Michigan           over  Eastern Michigan           rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Eastern Illinois           over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Georgia Tech               over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Holy Cross                 over  Harvard                    rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Idaho                      over  Eastern Washington         rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Louisville                 over  North Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Maine                      over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Maryland                   over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Mercer                     over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Miami - Ohio               over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Minnesota                  over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Missouri                   over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-28.0
   Monmouth                   over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Montana                    over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Murray State               over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Norfolk State              over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   North Texas                over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   South Dakota State         over  North Dakota               rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Southern California        over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  42.0-28.0
   Stetson                    over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Tennessee State            rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Texas Christian            over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Texas State - San Marcos   over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Texas Tech                 over  Houston                    rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Texas                      over  Kansas                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Toledo                     over  Northern Illinois          rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Utah State                 over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Wyoming                    over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   Butler                     over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Columbia                   over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Cornell                    over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Delaware State             over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Eastern Kentucky           over  North Alabama              rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Georgia State              over  Troy State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Iowa                       over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  17.5-7.0
   James Madison              over  South Alabama              rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Long Island                over  Duquesne                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Massachusetts              over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Mississippi                over  Louisiana State            rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Morehead State             over  Drake                      rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Nicholls State             over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Oregon State               over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Rhode Island               over  Bryant                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Richmond                   over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Robert Morris              over  Howard                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Southern Illinois          over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Tarleton State             over  Southeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Tennessee - Chattanooga    over  Wofford                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Tennessee                  over  South Carolina             rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Texas A&M                  over  Arkansas                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Tulsa                      over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Western Michigan           over  Ball State                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   Albany                     over  Villanova                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Central Arkansas           over  Southern Utah              rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Coastal Carolina           over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Memphis                    over  Boise State                rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Merrimack                  over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Pennsylvania               over  Dartmouth                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Southern                   over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Syracuse                   over  Clemson                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Youngstown State           over  Northern Iowa              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   Akron                      over  Buffalo                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Auburn                     over  Georgia                    rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Cincinnati                 over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Duke                       over  Notre Dame                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   East Carolina              over  Rice                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Grambling                  over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Illinois                   over  Purdue                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Kennesaw State             over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Kentucky                   over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Morgan State               over  Yale                       rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Navy                       over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   North Carolina Central     over  Campbell                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Pittsburgh                 over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Saint Francis - Pennsylva  over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Sam Houston State          over  Jacksonville State         rounded predicted score:  7.0-3.5
   Texas - El Paso            over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Western Kentucky           over  Middle Tennessee State     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   William & Mary             over  Elon                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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