2023 Week 6 (4-7 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Clemson                    over  Wake Forest                rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Columbia                   over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Delaware                   over  Duquesne                   rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Florida State              over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Fordham                    over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Furman                     over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Harvard                    over  Cornell                    rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Holy Cross                 over  Bucknell                   rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Idaho                      over  California Poly            rounded predicted score:  59.5-17.5
   Incarnate Word             over  Southeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Jackson State              over  Alabama A&M                rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Kansas State               over  Oklahoma State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Liberty                    over  Sam Houston State          rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   Mercer                     over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Miami - Florida            over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Michigan                   over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Mississippi State          over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Nicholls State             over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   North Dakota               over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  49.0-17.5
   Northern Iowa              over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Northwestern               over  Howard                     rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Ohio                       over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-10.5
   South Carolina State       over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   South Dakota State         over  Illinois State             rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   South Dakota               over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  35.0-7.0
   Southern California        over  Arizona                    rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Stephen F. Austin          over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Troy State                 over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Florida                    over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Georgia                    over  Kentucky                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Merrimack                  over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Mississippi                over  Arkansas                   rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Morgan State               over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   New Mexico State           over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Ohio State                 over  Maryland                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Rice                       over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Eastern Illinois           rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Toledo                     over  Massachusetts              rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   Villanova                  over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Weber State                over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Albany                     over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Army                       over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Boise State                over  San Jose State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   California - Davis         over  Montana                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Campbell                   over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Colorado                   over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Eastern Michigan           over  Ball State                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Florida A&M                over  Southern                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Gardner - Webb             over  Robert Morris              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Lafayette                  over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Lamar                      over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Long Island                over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Miami - Ohio               over  Bowling Green              rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Navy                       over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   North Dakota State         over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Notre Dame                 over  Louisville                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Oregon State               over  California                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Pennsylvania               over  Georgetown                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Texas A&M-Commerce         over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Texas Christian            over  Iowa State                 rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Texas Tech                 over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Utah State                 over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Virginia                   over  William & Mary             rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0

60-70% chance of victory:

   Alcorn State               over  Grambling                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   California - Los Angeles   over  Washington State           rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Central Arkansas           over  Southeast Missouri State   rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Elon                       over  North Carolina Central     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Fresno State               over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Illinois                   over  Nebraska                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Iowa                       over  Purdue                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Louisiana State            over  Missouri                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Northern Illinois          over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Oklahoma                   over  Texas                      rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Presbyterian               over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Samford                    over  Wofford                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   South Florida              over  Alabama - Birmingham       rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Southern Illinois          over  Youngstown State           rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Tennessee State            over  Kennesaw State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Texas - San Antonio        over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Texas State - San Marcos   over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  35.0-31.5
   Western Carolina           over  Tennessee - Chattanooga    rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Western Kentucky           over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   Bethune - Cookman          over  Alabama State              rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Buffalo                    over  Central Michigan           rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   Butler                     over  Saint Thomas - Minnesota   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Central Connecticut        over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Central Florida            over  Kansas                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Drake                      over  Valparaiso                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Florida Atlantic           over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Jacksonville State         over  Middle Tennessee State     rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Lindenwood                 over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Morehead State             over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   North Carolina State       over  Marshall                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   North Carolina             over  Syracuse                   rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Old Dominion               over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Prairie View               over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Rhode Island               over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   Richmond                   over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   South Alabama              over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Southern Utah              over  Tarleton State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Texas A&M                  over  Alabama                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Wisconsin                  over  Rutgers                    rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Yale                       over  Dartmouth                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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