2023 Week 8 (17-21 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  Navy                       rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Bowling Green              over  Akron                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Campbell                   over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   Coastal Carolina           over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Davidson                   over  Valparaiso                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Florida A&M                over  Texas Southern             rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Incarnate Word             over  McNeese State              rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Jackson State              over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Liberty                    over  Middle Tennessee State     rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Louisiana State            over  Army                       rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Mercer                     over  Wofford                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-7.0
   Michigan                   over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  38.5-10.5
   Missouri State             over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   New Hampshire              over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   North Carolina             over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   North Dakota State         over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  63.0-17.5
   Ohio                       over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  35.0-14.0
   Oklahoma                   over  Central Florida            rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Oregon                     over  Washington State           rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Portland State             over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   South Alabama              over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  38.5-17.5
   South Dakota               over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  42.0-10.5
   Southeast Missouri State   over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Southern Methodist         over  Temple                     rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Tarleton State             over  Morehead State             rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Tennessee - Chattanooga    over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Texas                      over  Houston                    rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Tulane                     over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  42.0-17.5
   Washington                 over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  56.0-17.5

80-90% chance of victory:

   Arkansas                   over  Mississippi State          rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Butler                     over  Dayton                     rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   California - Los Angeles   over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Cincinnati                 over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Delaware                   over  Hampton                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   East Carolina              over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Georgia Southern           over  Northeast Louisiana        rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Harvard                    over  Princeton                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Holy Cross                 over  Lafayette                  rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Howard                     over  Norfolk State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Iowa                       over  Minnesota                  rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Mississippi                over  Auburn                     rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Nevada - Las Vegas         over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   North Carolina Central     over  Morgan State               rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Northern Illinois          over  Eastern Michigan           rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   San Diego State            over  Nevada - Reno              rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   South Dakota State         over  Southern Illinois          rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Stephen F. Austin          over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Youngstown State           over  Illinois State             rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Alabama                    over  Tennessee                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Albany                     over  Rhode Island               rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Alcorn State               over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Appalachian State          over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  42.0-31.5
   Austin Peay                over  Southern Utah              rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Florida Atlantic           over  Texas - San Antonio        rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Florida State              over  Duke                       rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Georgetown                 over  Colgate                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Georgia Tech               over  Boston College             rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   James Madison              over  Marshall                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Kansas State               over  Texas Christian            rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Memphis                    over  Alabama - Birmingham       rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Missouri                   over  South Carolina             rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Montana State              over  Sacramento State           rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   North Dakota               over  Northern Iowa              rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Rutgers                    over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Sam Houston State          over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  21.0-7.0
   Samford                    over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Southern California        over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Wagner                     over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   West Virginia              over  Oklahoma State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Western Carolina           over  Furman                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   William & Mary             over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Yale                       over  Pennsylvania               rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Brown                      over  Cornell                    rounded predicted score:  35.0-28.0
   Bucknell                   over  Lehigh                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Buffalo                    over  Kent State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Central Michigan           over  Ball State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Eastern Washington         over  Weber State                rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Jacksonville State         over  Western Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Miami - Ohio               over  Toledo                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Monmouth                   over  Elon                       rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Nebraska                   over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Southeast Louisiana        over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Southern                   over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Texas Tech                 over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Tulsa                      over  Rice                       rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Wisconsin                  over  Illinois                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   California Poly            over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Connecticut                over  South Florida              rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Dartmouth                  over  Columbia                   rounded predicted score:  10.5-10.5
   Drake                      over  San Diego                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Duquesne                   over  Saint Francis - Pennsylva  rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Eastern Illinois           over  Bryant                     rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Eastern Kentucky           over  Gardner - Webb             rounded predicted score:  28.0-24.5
   Georgia State              over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Merrimack                  over  Long Island                rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Miami - Florida            over  Clemson                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   New Mexico                 over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Nicholls State             over  Texas A&M-Commerce         rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   North Alabama              over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Ohio State                 over  Penn State                 rounded predicted score:  10.5-10.5
   Presbyterian               over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Richmond                   over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Sacred Heart               over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   San Jose State             over  Utah State                 rounded predicted score:  28.0-28.0
   South Carolina State       over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Texas - El Paso            over  New Mexico State           rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Wake Forest                over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net