2023 Week 9 (24-29 Oct) Forecast for College Football Division IA & IAA


90-100% chance of victory:

   Appalachian State          over  Southern Mississippi       rounded predicted score:  45.5-24.5
   Austin Peay                over  North Alabama              rounded predicted score:  45.5-17.5
   Davidson                   over  Presbyterian               rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Florida A&M                over  Prairie View               rounded predicted score:  45.5-14.0
   Florida State              over  Wake Forest                rounded predicted score:  45.5-21.0
   Furman                     over  East Tennessee State       rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Howard                     over  Delaware State             rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Jackson State              over  Arkansas - Pine Bluff      rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   James Madison              over  Old Dominion               rounded predicted score:  42.0-21.0
   Kansas State               over  Houston                    rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0
   Mississippi                over  Vanderbilt                 rounded predicted score:  56.0-24.5
   Montana                    over  Northern Colorado          rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   North Carolina Central     over  South Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  31.5-10.5
   North Dakota State         over  Murray State               rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   North Dakota               over  Indiana State              rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Notre Dame                 over  Pittsburgh                 rounded predicted score:  42.0-14.0
   Penn State                 over  Indiana                    rounded predicted score:  49.0-10.5
   Samford                    over  The Citadel                rounded predicted score:  31.5-7.0
   Southern Illinois          over  Western Illinois           rounded predicted score:  52.5-21.0
   Southern Methodist         over  Tulsa                      rounded predicted score:  38.5-10.5
   Tennessee - Chattanooga    over  Virginia Military          rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Texas A&M-Commerce         over  Houston Christian          rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Texas                      over  Brigham Young              rounded predicted score:  38.5-14.0
   Villanova                  over  Stony Brook                rounded predicted score:  45.5-10.5
   Washington                 over  Stanford                   rounded predicted score:  49.0-21.0

80-90% chance of victory:

   Air Force                  over  Colorado State             rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Albany                     over  Maine                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Alcorn State               over  Mississippi Valley State   rounded predicted score:  24.5-10.5
   Army                       over  Massachusetts              rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Boston College             over  Connecticut                rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Butler                     over  Valparaiso                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   California - Los Angeles   over  Colorado                   rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Central Arkansas           over  Tarleton State             rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Drake                      over  Stetson                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0
   Georgia                    over  Florida                    rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Harvard                    over  Dartmouth                  rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Incarnate Word             over  Lamar                      rounded predicted score:  35.0-21.0
   Lafayette                  over  Georgetown                 rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Miami - Florida            over  Virginia                   rounded predicted score:  35.0-17.5
   Ohio State                 over  Wisconsin                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Oklahoma                   over  Kansas                     rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   Oregon                     over  Utah                       rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Robert Morris              over  Tennessee Tech             rounded predicted score:  21.0-7.0
   Sacramento State           over  Idaho State                rounded predicted score:  42.0-24.5
   San Jose State             over  Hawaii                     rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   South Alabama              over  Louisiana - Lafayette      rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   South Dakota State         over  South Dakota               rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Southern                   over  Texas Southern             rounded predicted score:  28.0-10.5
   Tennessee State            over  Lindenwood                 rounded predicted score:  31.5-14.0
   Tennessee                  over  Kentucky                   rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Texas A&M                  over  South Carolina             rounded predicted score:  38.5-21.0
   Western Carolina           over  Mercer                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

   Alabama State              over  Alabama A&M                rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Bryant                     over  Charleston Southern        rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Clemson                    over  North Carolina State       rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Fresno State               over  Nevada - Las Vegas         rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Holy Cross                 over  Fordham                    rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Iowa State                 over  Baylor                     rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Jacksonville State         over  Florida International      rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Maryland                   over  Northwestern               rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5
   Memphis                    over  North Texas                rounded predicted score:  38.5-28.0
   Minnesota                  over  Michigan State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   North Carolina             over  Georgia Tech               rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Oklahoma State             over  Cincinnati                 rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Pennsylvania               over  Brown                      rounded predicted score:  38.5-24.5
   Saint Thomas - Minnesota   over  Marist                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-14.0
   Southern California        over  California                 rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Southern Utah              over  Abilene Christian          rounded predicted score:  28.0-17.5
   Texas - San Antonio        over  East Carolina              rounded predicted score:  21.0-10.5
   Troy State                 over  Texas State - San Marcos   rounded predicted score:  35.0-24.5
   Washington State           over  Arizona State              rounded predicted score:  31.5-21.0
   Yale                       over  Columbia                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-7.0
   Youngstown State           over  Missouri State             rounded predicted score:  31.5-17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   Auburn                     over  Mississippi State          rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Campbell                   over  Richmond                   rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Central Florida            over  West Virginia              rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Coastal Carolina           over  Marshall                   rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Colgate                    over  Bucknell                   rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Delaware                   over  Towson                     rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   Duke                       over  Louisville                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Eastern Kentucky           over  Utah Tech                  rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Florida Atlantic           over  North Carolina - Charlott  rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Liberty                    over  Western Kentucky           rounded predicted score:  31.5-24.5
   Long Island                over  Central Connecticut        rounded predicted score:  24.5-17.5
   McNeese State              over  Northwestern State         rounded predicted score:  17.5-10.5
   Merrimack                  over  Saint Francis - Pennsylva  rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Monmouth                   over  William & Mary             rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Montana State              over  Idaho                      rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   New Hampshire              over  Rhode Island               rounded predicted score:  31.5-28.0
   Northeast Louisiana        over  Arkansas State             rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Sam Houston State          over  Texas - El Paso            rounded predicted score:  10.5-3.5
   San Diego                  over  Morehead State             rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Southeast Missouri State   over  Nicholls State             rounded predicted score:  21.0-14.0
   Tennessee - Martin         over  Gardner - Webb             rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0
   Tulane                     over  Rice                       rounded predicted score:  28.0-21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

   Boise State                over  Wyoming                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   California - Davis         over  Northern Arizona           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Duquesne                   over  Sacred Heart               rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Eastern Michigan           over  Western Michigan           rounded predicted score:  21.0-17.5
   Georgia State              over  Georgia Southern           rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Grambling                  over  Bethune - Cookman          rounded predicted score:  21.0-21.0
   Hampton                    over  North Carolina A&T         rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Nebraska                   over  Purdue                     rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Nevada - Reno              over  New Mexico                 rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   New Mexico State           over  Louisiana Tech             rounded predicted score:  24.5-24.5
   Norfolk State              over  Morgan State               rounded predicted score:  14.0-14.0
   Northern Iowa              over  Illinois State             rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Ohio                       over  Miami - Ohio               rounded predicted score:  14.0-10.5
   Oregon State               over  Arizona                    rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Portland State             over  Eastern Washington         rounded predicted score:  24.5-21.0
   Princeton                  over  Cornell                    rounded predicted score:  17.5-17.5
   Syracuse                   over  Virginia Tech              rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0
   Wagner                     over  Stonehill                  rounded predicted score:  17.5-14.0

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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