prob winning team actual/pred score, losing team actual/pred score 100% Penn State 33/50.1, Indiana 24/ 9.0 99% Southern Illinois 63/54.0, Western Illinois 0/19.5 99% North Dakota 36/46.1, Indiana State 33/12.1 99% North Dakota State 38/45.2, Murray State 6/11.8 99% Mississippi 33/55.6, Vanderbilt 7/22.8 99% Villanova 48/43.9, Stony Brook 13/12.0 98% Austin Peay 49/46.2, North Alabama 39/16.6 98% Florida A&M 45/44.4, Prairie View 7/15.4 98% Washington 42/47.6, Stanford 33/19.7 98% Furman 16/40.8, East Tennessee State 8/13.1 98% Montana 40/40.6, Northern Colorado 0/13.0 98% Southern Methodist 69/37.9, Tulsa 10/10.3 97% Florida State 41/46.5, Wake Forest 16/19.8 97% Notre Dame 58/41.1, Pittsburgh 7/14.7 97% Kansas State 41/48.7, Houston 0/22.7 96% James Madison 30/43.5, Old Dominion 27/19.3 95% Texas 35/39.2, Brigham Young 6/15.5 95% Jackson State 40/38.3, Arkansas - Pine Bluff 14/15.4 94% Samford 37/30.5, The Citadel 7/ 8.5 94% Davidson 45/42.8, Presbyterian 28/21.0 93% Appalachian State 48/46.5, Southern Mississippi 38/25.4 93% North Carolina Central 62/33.0, South Carolina State 28/12.0 93% Howard 17/41.3, Delaware State 10/20.6 91% Tennessee - Chattanooga 24/36.1, Virginia Military 23/17.7 90% Southern 23/27.6, Texas Southern 17/10.1 89% California - Los Angeles 28/39.2, Colorado 16/21.7 89% Albany 37/35.6, Maine 21/18.1 89% Texas A&M 30/38.2, South Carolina 17/20.8 89% Ohio State 24/30.3, Wisconsin 10/12.8 89% South Dakota State 37/29.4, South Dakota 3/12.1 89% Butler 17/34.0, Valparaiso 7/17.0 89% Miami - Florida 29/33.4, Virginia 26/16.5 89% Sacramento State 51/40.9, Idaho State 16/24.1 88% Tennessee State 43/31.0, Lindenwood 20/14.4 88% Air Force 30/33.7, Colorado State 13/17.4 87% Boston College 21/36.6, Connecticut 14/20.6 87% Georgia 43/26.7, Florida 20/10.9 87% Harvard 17/33.5, Dartmouth 9/18.0 86% San Jose State 35/38.5, Hawaii 0/23.6 85% Alcorn State 24/24.8, Mississippi Valley State 3/10.1 84% Incarnate Word 17/33.8, Lamar 7/19.7 84% Lafayette 35/31.1, Georgetown 25/17.1 84% Tennessee 33/31.1, Kentucky 27/17.3 81% Oregon 35/25.7, Utah 6/13.3 81% Drake 33/27.1, Stetson 7/15.1 79% Youngstown State 44/29.8, Missouri State 28/18.4 79% Saint Thomas - Minnesota 49/24.8, Marist 14/13.5 79% Memphis 45/38.0, North Texas 42/26.9 78% Holy Cross 49/37.0, Fordham 47/26.1 78% Southern California 50/36.6, California 49/25.9 78% Iowa State 30/28.6, Baylor 18/17.9 76% Oklahoma State 45/25.8, Cincinnati 13/16.0 76% Fresno State 31/32.4, Nevada - Las Vegas 24/22.7 75% Jacksonville State 41/28.7, Florida International 16/19.0 74% Southern Utah 52/27.2, Abilene Christian 14/18.1 74% Bryant 47/28.4, Charleston Southern 24/19.3 73% Yale 35/15.8, Columbia 7/ 7.4 73% Texas - San Antonio 41/20.5, East Carolina 27/12.1 72% Troy State 31/33.9, Texas State - San Marcos 13/25.6 70% Minnesota 27/20.2, Michigan State 12/12.7 70% Alabama State 31/25.7, Alabama A&M 16/18.3 69% Tulane 30/27.4, Rice 28/20.3 68% Delaware 51/23.9, Towson 13/17.3 68% Southeast Missouri State 35/21.2, Nicholls State 31/14.7 67% Liberty 42/30.1, Western Kentucky 29/23.8 65% Auburn 27/19.8, Mississippi State 13/14.6 64% Coastal Carolina 34/24.2, Marshall 6/19.3 63% Eastern Kentucky 34/30.7, Utah Tech 30/26.1 63% San Diego 17/25.4, Morehead State 11/20.8 63% Long Island 24/23.7, Central Connecticut 23/19.1 60% Florida Atlantic 38/20.5, North Carolina - Charlott 16/16.8 59% Hampton 26/16.9, North Carolina A&T 24/13.7 58% Princeton 14/19.1, Cornell 3/16.4 58% Portland State 47/23.5, Eastern Washington 35/20.8 56% Nebraska 31/14.2, Purdue 14/12.0 54% New Mexico State 27/25.6, Louisiana Tech 24/24.2 54% Boise State 32/24.6, Wyoming 7/23.3 53% Wagner 28/16.0, Stonehill 17/14.9 53% Grambling 28/21.6, Bethune - Cookman 14/20.6 53% Nevada - Reno 34/16.5, New Mexico 24/15.6 52% Northern Iowa 24/17.4, Illinois State 21/16.8 50% Duquesne 27/18.3, Sacred Heart 0/18.1 50% Morgan State 32/15.1, Norfolk State 28/15.1 48% Northern Arizona 38/19.1, California - Davis 21/19.9 45% Georgia Southern 44/22.7, Georgia State 27/24.4 44% Western Michigan 45/17.8, Eastern Michigan 21/19.8 44% Miami - Ohio 30/10.9, Ohio 16/13.2 42% Arizona 27/20.4, Oregon State 24/23.3 42% Virginia Tech 38/15.0, Syracuse 10/18.0 38% Louisville 23/14.8, Duke 0/19.2 37% Texas - El Paso 37/ 4.9, Sam Houston State 34/ 9.7 36% William & Mary 31/17.3, Monmouth 28/22.2 36% Saint Francis - Pennsylva 28/20.6, Merrimack 21/25.7 36% Rhode Island 34/26.8, New Hampshire 28/31.9 34% Arkansas State 34/13.4, Northeast Louisiana 24/19.0 34% Idaho 24/19.5, Montana State 21/25.1 33% Gardner - Webb 38/22.3, Tennessee - Martin 34/28.6 33% Richmond 44/22.4, Campbell 13/28.7 32% Bucknell 49/10.8, Colgate 34/17.5 32% West Virginia 41/17.9, Central Florida 28/24.6 27% North Carolina State 24/18.5, Clemson 17/27.1 25% Arizona State 38/21.6, Washington State 27/31.2 22% Georgia Tech 46/26.1, North Carolina 42/36.9 22% Brown 30/26.0, Pennsylvania 26/37.0 21% Northwestern 33/18.8, Maryland 27/30.0 17% Tarleton State 25/22.8, Central Arkansas 23/36.1 17% Tennessee Tech 38/ 8.3, Robert Morris 13/21.8 15% Mercer 45/13.5, Western Carolina 38/27.8 11% Louisiana - Lafayette 33/20.3, South Alabama 20/37.2 11% Kansas 38/23.6, Oklahoma 33/40.6 11% Massachusetts 21/16.0, Army 14/33.3 08% Houston Christian 17/13.0, Texas A&M-Commerce 13/32.8
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