rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 9 Notre Dame 78 Vanderbilt 10 Virginia Tech 110 Akron 51 Arkansas 92 Southern Methodist 3 Florida State 77 Duke 91 Hawaii 108 Ohio 17 Louisiana State 89 Houston 45 Baylor 95 Louisiana Tech 61 Maryland 101 Alabama - Birmingham 1 Nebraska 28 Michigan State 31 Air Force 109 Nevada - Las Vegas 4 Ohio State 79 Rice 8 Penn State 40 Louisville 81 Pittsburgh 111 Kent State 41 San Diego State 97 Idaho 47 South Carolina 102 Central Florida 55 Washington State 98 Temple 6 Tennessee 42 California - Los Angeles 18 Texas 93 New Mexico State 23 Toledo 71 Indiana 15 Virginia 87 Central Michigan 11 Northwestern 99 Wake Forest 35 Wisconsin 84 Eastern Michigan 12 Texas Tech 63 Oklahoma State 80-90% chance of victory: 20 Auburn 62 Fresno State 30 Miami - Ohio 70 Ball State 5 Colorado 33 Colorado State 25 Iowa 52 Arizona 44 Oklahoma 64 Texas Christian 68 California 103 San Jose State 48 West Virginia 73 Western Michigan 70-80% chance of victory: 36 Alabama 49 Southern Mississippi 56 Cincinnati 65 Kentucky 53 Wyoming 88 Iowa State 60 Minnesota 96 Northeast Louisiana 22 Syracuse 29 North Carolina 60-70% chance of victory: 37 Stanford 38 Utah 50-60% chance of victory: 32 Washington 50 Arizona State 27 Illinois 21 Southern California 80 Memphis State 76 Mississippi State 59 Georgia Tech 74 North Carolina State 19 Nevada - Reno 34 Oregon 83 Rutgers 82 Navy
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