Week 4 (19-21 Sep) Forecast for College Football

rank projected winning team     rank projected losing team
 --- ----------------------      --- ----------------------

90-100% chance of victory:

   4 Florida State                75 North Carolina State    
   1 Nebraska                     36 Arizona State           
  69 Ball State                   99 Central Florida         
  47 Baylor                       84 Oregon State            
  31 Brigham Young                71 New Mexico              
  33 Colorado State              110 Nevada - Las Vegas      
  53 Illinois                    107 Akron                   
  27 Miami - Ohio                 93 Bowling Green           
  11 Michigan                     80 Boston College          
  20 North Carolina               58 Georgia Tech            
  18 Northwestern                102 Ohio                    
   3 Ohio State                   79 Pittsburgh              
   5 Kansas State                 88 Rice                    
   7 Penn State                   95 Temple                  
  44 Texas A&M                   108 North Texas             
  26 Iowa                         86 Tulsa                   
  40 Utah                         87 Fresno State            
  17 Virginia Tech                97 Rutgers                 
  12 Virginia                     94 Wake Forest             

80-90% chance of victory:

   9 Auburn                       23 Louisiana State         
  15 Texas Tech                   52 Georgia                 
  37 Indiana                      72 Kentucky                
  67 Mississippi State            90 Louisiana Tech          
  13 Southern California          60 Houston  <-- forecast originally omitted

70-80% chance of victory:

  32 Alabama                      62 Arkansas                
  65 Army                         78 Duke                    
  46 Toledo                       81 Eastern Michigan        
  83 Memphis State                89 Tulane                  
  25 Michigan State               41 Louisville              
  43 San Diego State              51 Oklahoma                
  48 Southern Mississippi         70 Southwestern Louisiana  
   2 Florida                       6 Tennessee               
  50 Mississippi                  77 Vanderbilt              
  21 Oregon                       54 Washington State        

60-70% chance of victory:

  24 Nevada - Reno                55 California              
  29 Syracuse                     59 Minnesota               
  73 Navy                         74 Southern Methodist      
  64 Oklahoma State               68 Utah State              
 101 San Jose State              100 Texas - El Paso <-- corrected for
							 proper home field
  38 Wisconsin                    45 Stanford                

50-60% chance of victory:

 103 Northern Illinois           109 Arkansas State          
  82 Western Michigan             92 Central Michigan        
 106 Hawaii                      105 Boise State             
  66 Clemson                      76 Missouri                
  42 West Virginia                57 Purdue                  
  39 East Carolina                49 South Carolina          
  10 Notre Dame                   19 Texas                   
  34 Washington                   28 Arizona                 
  35 Wyoming                      22 Air Force               

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net