rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 20 Air Force 85 Rice 62 Arkansas 104 Northeast Louisiana 36 California 89 Oregon State 27 East Carolina 99 Central Florida 3 Florida 78 Kentucky 4 Florida State 18 North Carolina 16 Louisiana State 94 New Mexico State 15 Miami - Florida 93 Pittsburgh 41 Michigan State 87 Eastern Michigan 2 Nebraska 52 Colorado State 25 Wyoming 110 Nevada - Las Vegas 43 Nevada - Reno 111 Kent State 55 Army 109 North Texas 1 Ohio State 8 Notre Dame 21 Texas Tech 65 Utah State 37 Washington State 101 San Jose State 5 Penn State 34 Wisconsin 80-90% chance of victory: 39 West Virginia 59 Maryland 90 Western Michigan 107 Akron 22 Arizona State 51 Oregon 32 Brigham Young 66 Southern Methodist 73 Clemson 97 Wake Forest 61 Georgia Tech 81 Duke 9 Colorado 44 Texas A&M 70-80% chance of victory: 96 Fresno State 105 Hawaii 14 Michigan 29 California - Los Angeles 67 Oklahoma 82 Tulsa 64 Purdue 79 North Carolina State 56 South Carolina 74 Mississippi State 10 Kansas 33 Utah 13 Virginia 17 Texas 60-70% chance of victory: 76 Bowling Green 86 Central Michigan 75 Louisiana Tech 83 Southwestern Louisiana 63 New Mexico 72 Texas Christian 50-60% chance of victory: 71 Boston College 68 Navy 46 Miami - Ohio 58 Cincinnati 24 Northwestern 42 Indiana 69 Missouri 84 Iowa State 40 Louisville 38 Southern Mississippi 98 Texas - El Paso 103 Northern Illinois 23 Virginia Tech 31 Syracuse
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