rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 5 Tennessee 51 Mississippi 24 Alabama 87 Kentucky 13 Arizona State 105 Boise State 2 Florida 64 Arkansas 11 Auburn 62 South Carolina 4 Florida State 71 Clemson 9 Virginia 48 Georgia Tech 69 Colorado State 107 Hawaii 104 Akron 111 Kent State 8 Louisiana State 70 Vanderbilt 34 Nevada - Reno 110 Nevada - Las Vegas 1 Ohio State 7 Penn State 17 Kansas 83 Oklahoma 36 Wyoming 102 San Jose State 22 Syracuse 89 Rutgers 26 Utah 94 Texas - El Paso 44 Texas A&M 77 Louisiana Tech 12 Texas Tech 40 Baylor 20 North Carolina 92 Wake Forest 66 Ball State 101 Western Michigan 80-90% chance of victory: 28 Brigham Young 78 Utah State 3 Nebraska 6 Kansas State 57 Maryland 84 North Carolina State 56 Miami - Ohio 90 Central Michigan 15 Southern California 41 California 23 Texas 55 Oklahoma State 53 Toledo 72 Bowling Green 21 Washington 47 Stanford 42 West Virginia 63 Boston College 70-80% chance of victory: 43 Georgia 67 Mississippi State 106 Northern Illinois 109 North Texas 60 New Mexico 86 Rice 68 Southern Methodist 74 Missouri 60-70% chance of victory: 61 Cincinnati 75 Memphis State 79 Navy 91 Duke 16 Michigan 25 Northwestern 50-60% chance of victory: 35 Arizona 31 Washington State 54 Illinois 49 Indiana 29 Michigan State 45 Iowa 93 Eastern Michigan 99 Ohio 38 California - Los Angeles 52 Oregon 97 Pittsburgh 96 Temple 46 Minnesota 58 Purdue 50 Houston 65 Southwestern Louisiana 76 Texas Christian 88 Tulane
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