rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 54 Miami - Ohio 107 Akron 44 Arizona 98 Alabama - Birmingham 3 Ohio State 82 Bowling Green 1 Nebraska 84 Central Florida 64 Marshall 112 Kent State 5 Florida State 75 Maryland 26 Michigan State 83 Memphis State 14 Auburn 70 Mississippi 40 Air Force 104 Nevada - Las Vegas 13 Kansas State 93 Ohio 55 Navy 102 Rutgers 21 Texas Tech 95 Southwestern Louisiana 11 Penn State 97 Temple 15 Iowa 90 Tulsa 35 East Carolina 94 Wake Forest 87 Western Michigan 110 Northern Illinois 45 Wisconsin 101 San Jose State 27 Wyoming 105 Hawaii 80-90% chance of victory: 24 Alabama 67 Vanderbilt 50 Arkansas 88 Southern Methodist 100 Central Michigan 109 Boise State 30 Colorado State 78 Utah State 48 Northwestern 96 Duke 53 Toledo 92 Eastern Michigan 22 Louisiana State 63 Mississippi State 65 New Mexico 108 Texas - El Paso 6 Notre Dame 47 Purdue 9 Washington 39 San Diego State 70-80% chance of victory: 62 Indiana 81 Ball State 68 Minnesota 91 Iowa State 36 Kansas 60 Missouri 89 Louisiana Tech 99 Northeast Louisiana 18 North Carolina 34 Stanford 8 Texas 33 California - Los Angeles 23 Southern California 38 Washington State 37 West Virginia 69 Boston College 60-70% chance of victory: 31 Clemson 56 North Carolina State 66 Oklahoma State 85 Fresno State 28 Nevada - Reno 41 Oregon 52 Utah 73 Texas Christian 50-60% chance of victory: 20 Miami - Florida 19 Arizona State 10 Michigan 7 Colorado 59 Louisville 57 Illinois 86 Houston 76 Pittsburgh 80 Tulane 77 Rice 49 Georgia 43 South Carolina 16 Virginia Tech 17 Syracuse
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