rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Florida 52 Arkansas 56 Central Florida 112 Kent State 41 Colorado State 100 Hawaii 13 California - Los Angeles 88 Houston 49 Missouri 103 Iowa State 16 Louisiana State 69 Vanderbilt 9 Michigan 67 Indiana 14 Michigan State 77 Minnesota 3 Tennessee 62 Mississippi 21 Southern California 97 Nevada - Las Vegas 11 North Carolina 87 Texas Christian 96 Bowling Green 108 Northern Illinois 4 Penn State 68 Illinois 34 West Virginia 101 Rutgers 30 Clemson 107 Texas - El Paso 80-90% chance of victory: 26 Brigham Young 81 Utah State 10 Washington 27 Arizona State 24 Syracuse 66 East Carolina 2 Nebraska 12 Kansas State 32 Southern Mississippi 78 Louisville 46 Cincinnati 85 Memphis State 5 Florida State 31 Miami - Florida 72 Oregon State 102 San Jose State 33 Virginia 80 Wake Forest 70-80% chance of victory: 42 Utah 92 Fresno State 19 Virginia Tech 44 Miami - Ohio 64 New Mexico 83 Southern Methodist 20 Washington State 70 Oregon 60-70% chance of victory: 22 Alabama 50 Kentucky 75 Tulane 82 Army 17 Auburn 43 South Carolina 36 California 76 Louisiana Tech 79 Maryland 86 Duke 37 Georgia 48 Mississippi State 71 Ohio 95 Eastern Michigan 61 Pittsburgh 91 Temple 40 Arizona 51 San Diego State 104 Arkansas State 109 Southwestern Louisiana 28 Texas Tech 65 Baylor 25 Texas 53 Oklahoma State 50-60% chance of victory: 90 Western Michigan 93 Ball State 106 Akron 105 Central Michigan 45 Georgia Tech 73 Boston College 7 Ohio State 6 Iowa 84 Idaho 89 North Texas 23 Stanford 18 Notre Dame 63 Kansas 59 Oklahoma 74 Rice 98 Tulsa 8 Texas A&M 15 Colorado 38 Wisconsin 54 Northwestern
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