rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 76 Louisiana Tech 109 Arkansas State 90 North Texas 106 Boise State 94 Ball State 110 Central Michigan 27 Air Force 89 Fresno State 3 Florida State 42 Georgia Tech 35 Brigham Young 98 Hawaii 5 Ohio State 83 Indiana 86 Western Michigan 111 Kent State 7 Penn State 71 Minnesota 77 Utah State 112 New Mexico State 50 Toledo 107 Northern Illinois 9 California - Los Angeles 70 Oregon State 92 Army 105 Rutgers 13 Syracuse 91 Temple 1 Nebraska 26 Texas Tech 80-90% chance of victory: 4 Tennessee 29 Alabama 53 Ohio 95 Bowling Green 19 Washington State 58 California 55 Cincinnati 97 Houston 31 Virginia 87 Duke 40 Tulane 79 East Carolina 2 Florida 11 Auburn 24 Georgia 65 Vanderbilt 20 Colorado 61 Kansas 15 Louisiana State 48 Mississippi 52 Kentucky 96 Northeast Louisiana 82 Texas Christian 101 Tulsa 6 Washington 34 Arizona 70-80% chance of victory: 59 Nevada - Reno 84 Idaho 16 Michigan State 47 Northwestern 54 San Diego State 93 Nevada - Las Vegas 17 North Carolina 46 North Carolina State 23 Notre Dame 38 Southern California 60-70% chance of victory: 28 Miami - Ohio 44 Marshall 43 Miami - Florida 73 Boston College 50-60% chance of victory: 99 Eastern Michigan 102 Akron 45 South Carolina 62 Arkansas 67 Oklahoma 66 Baylor 18 Colorado State 30 Wyoming 10 Michigan 12 Iowa 69 Wake Forest 81 Maryland 51 New Mexico 63 Rice 100 San Jose State 104 Texas - El Paso 22 Arizona State 21 Stanford 8 Texas A&M 14 Kansas State 49 Texas 64 Missouri 68 Oregon 60 Utah 39 Purdue 41 Wisconsin
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