rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 44 Air Force 103 San Jose State 14 Auburn 66 Arkansas 9 California - Los Angeles 84 California 3 Florida State 39 Virginia 15 Iowa 80 Indiana 11 Kansas State 65 Oklahoma 1 Nebraska 68 Kansas 54 Ohio 106 Akron 18 Colorado State 100 Tulsa 4 Washington 69 Oregon State 80-90% chance of victory: 13 Washington State 48 Arizona 62 Baylor 102 Iowa State 25 Notre Dame 77 Boston College 26 Miami - Ohio 60 Cincinnati 55 Marshall 93 Eastern Michigan 50 Nevada - Reno 91 North Texas 7 Ohio State 42 Northwestern 76 Pittsburgh 104 Rutgers 22 Purdue 75 Illinois 61 San Diego State 97 Hawaii 46 Miami - Florida 94 Temple 45 Brigham Young 89 Texas Christian 51 Toledo 96 Bowling Green 35 South Carolina 70 Vanderbilt 31 Wyoming 72 Southern Methodist 70-80% chance of victory: 92 Ball State 107 Northern Illinois 38 Clemson 79 Maryland 21 Colorado 49 Texas 81 Louisiana Tech 101 Boise State 30 Southern California 56 Oregon 8 Texas A&M 28 Texas Tech 60-70% chance of victory: 109 Arkansas State 112 New Mexico State 24 Georgia 43 Kentucky 34 Oklahoma State 57 Missouri 99 Northeast Louisiana 111 Southwestern Louisiana 50-60% chance of victory: 29 Alabama 40 Mississippi 53 Central Florida 71 Mississippi State 105 Central Michigan 110 Kent State 98 Louisville 95 Houston 74 East Carolina 83 Memphis State 10 Michigan 19 Michigan State 82 Fresno State 85 Nevada - Las Vegas 59 Utah 63 New Mexico 37 Southern Mississippi 32 Tulane 78 Utah State 88 Idaho 23 Virginia Tech 33 West Virginia 64 Wake Forest 73 Duke 41 Wisconsin 67 Minnesota
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