rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 1 Nebraska 89 Alabama - Birmingham 70-80% chance of victory: 83 Western Michigan 107 Northern Illinois 37 North Carolina State 74 Ohio 18 Auburn 29 Virginia 10 Washington State 81 Illinois 66 Minnesota 110 Arkansas State 43 South Carolina 86 Ball State 34 Georgia Tech 77 Boston College 31 Missouri 97 Bowling Green 40 Alabama 61 Brigham Young 12 Iowa 109 Central Michigan 42 Virginia Tech 69 East Carolina 52 California 90 Houston 19 Georgia 106 Kent State 44 Marshall 105 Akron 30 Mississippi 80 Memphis State 13 North Carolina 32 Miami - Ohio 46 Northwestern 85 Nevada - Las Vegas 60 Texas 111 New Mexico State 76 Oklahoma 102 North Texas 5 Ohio State 49 West Virginia 38 Stanford 100 San Jose State 17 Penn State 24 Southern Mississippi 68 Toledo 98 Temple 35 Texas Tech 101 Texas - El Paso 48 Mississippi State 62 Vanderbilt 53 Air Force 71 Wake Forest 60-70% chance of victory: 55 Central Florida 95 Louisiana Tech 11 Colorado State 22 Colorado 57 Kentucky 93 Louisville 7 Michigan 23 Notre Dame 26 Oregon 25 Michigan State 39 Oklahoma State 78 Kansas 67 Rice 73 Southern Methodist 63 Utah State 59 Utah 50-60% chance of victory: 58 Cincinnati 45 Tulane 54 Nevada - Reno 72 Oregon State 8 Tennessee 14 Syracuse 88 Texas Christian 104 Iowa State 6 Washington 16 Arizona State 47 Wisconsin 64 San Diego State
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