1998 Week 7 (17 Oct) Results for College Football

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 93%  55 Marshall                42 48.2,   110 Kent State               7  9.9
 92%  57 Miami - Ohio            28 33.7,   107 Ball State              17  6.2
 92%  50 Brigham Young           31 32.1,   106 Hawaii                   9  5.8
 92%  44 Wyoming                 28 35.9,   104 Nevada - Las Vegas      25  9.5
 92%  25 Georgia                 31 31.5,    87 Vanderbilt               6  1.5
 92%  22 Wisconsin               37 32.5,    90 Illinois                 3  5.0
 92%   5 Ohio State              45 45.4,    74 Minnesota               15  3.7
 91%  39 Colorado State          47 42.1,   105 New Mexico State        28 19.6
 91%   8 Florida State           48 32.9,    54 Clemson                  0  6.2
 91%   2 Nebraska                41 46.8,    61 Kansas                   0 14.7
 91%   1 Kansas State            52 42.6,    33 Oklahoma State          20 12.3
 90%  95 Memphis State           41 39.4,   108 Cincinnati              23 20.2
 90%  35 Southern Mississippi    37 29.2,    88 Army                    13  7.7
 90%  13 Michigan                12 35.1,    69 Northwestern             6 12.6
 90%   9 Syracuse                42 42.3,    75 Boston College          25 17.7
 88%  32 Louisiana Tech          54 44.1,    98 Alabama - Birmingham    23 20.9
 86%  28 North Carolina State    27 37.3,    72 Duke                    24 17.5
 86%   7 Florida                 24 26.5,    36 Auburn                   3  8.1
 85%  23 Missouri                20 30.6,    59 Oklahoma                 6 11.5
 83%  34 Tulane                  28 48.4,    79 Louisville              22 36.3
 79%  15 Texas A&M               35 26.5,    49 Baylor                  14 14.7
 75%  40 Arkansas                41 23.5,    64 South Carolina          28 15.0
 75%  29 Arizona                 28 26.5,    58 Oregon State             7 18.1
 75%  24 Southern California     42 32.1,    56 Washington State        14 23.7
 74%  26 Washington              21 30.2,    51 California              13 21.3
 73%  46 Alabama                 23 26.0,    68 East Carolina           22 17.5
 72%  63 San Diego State         36 30.4,    96 New Mexico              33 23.3
 71%  71 Toledo                  24 22.2,    84 Bowling Green           16 15.6
 69%  97 Western Michigan        45 32.7,   101 Eastern Michigan        35 27.4
 68%  83 Texas - El Paso         28 22.7,    93 San Jose State          21 17.5
 65%  31 Colorado                19 22.1,    37 Texas Tech              17 18.1
 64%   3 California - Los Angel  41 47.5,     4 Oregon                  38 44.1
 63%  81 Rice                    14 27.4,    82 Tulsa                   10 24.4
 62%  17 Penn State              31 28.7,    19 Purdue                  13 25.9
 61%  18 Georgia Tech            41 26.8,    16 Virginia                38 24.9
 59%  91 Ohio                    28 27.7,    86 Akron                   14 26.7
 59%  53 Indiana                 14 23.6,    52 Iowa                     7 22.2
 58%  65 Wake Forest             20 20.1,    78 Maryland                10 18.3
 57%  66 Utah                    24 25.5,    62 Fresno State            16 24.8
 53%  76 Idaho                   26 28.8,    89 Utah State              14 27.8

 50%  92 North Texas             27 25.2,    80 Nevada - Reno           21 25.6
 47%  67 Southern Methodist      10 22.0,    60 Texas Christian          6 23.0
 23%  43 Kentucky                39 32.5,    14 Louisiana State         36 41.9
 20% 109 Northern Illinois       16 22.1,    94 Central Michigan         6 32.3
  8% 112 Southwestern Louisiana  21 20.4,   102 Arkansas State          19 39.9
  8% 100 Temple                  28  1.1,    10 Virginia Tech           24 44.7
  7% 111 Rutgers                 25  9.5,    45 Pittsburgh              21 50.7

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                7 1.28   7 1.55   9 1.19   7 1.00  17 0.90   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  47  40 1.09

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

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