1998 Week 9 (29-31 Oct) Results for College Football

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 92%  37 Tulane                  72 52.9,   111 Southwestern Louisiana  20  6.6
 92%  14 Penn State              27 37.3,    91 Illinois                 0  1.6
 92%   9 Air Force               31 42.0,    77 Southern Methodist       7  9.5
 92%   7 Tennessee               49 39.5,    74 South Carolina          14  9.3
 92%   2 Florida State           39 40.3,    48 North Carolina          13  8.3
 92%   1 Kansas State            54 45.8,    54 Kansas                   6 15.1
 91%  10 Syracuse                45 43.0,    72 Pittsburgh              28 14.5
 91%   5 California - Los Angel  28 50.8,    79 Stanford                24 22.7
 91%   3 Ohio State              38 36.2,    47 Indiana                  7 10.7
 90%  90 Western Michigan        48 40.0,   110 Kent State              23 25.7
 90%  19 Georgia Tech            31 35.8,    80 Maryland                14 14.1
 89%  29 Miami - Florida         35 36.5,    81 Boston College          17 13.8
 87%  18 Virginia                38 31.2,    68 Wake Forest             17 13.4
 84%  88 Texas - El Paso         30 21.8,   108 Hawaii                  13  6.0
 84%  17 Purdue                  36 31.9,    53 Iowa                    14 13.6
 83%  71 Toledo                  16 25.9,   103 Northern Illinois        3 11.8
 83%  40 Michigan State          29 31.1,    69 Northwestern             5 15.1
 82%  56 Miami - Ohio            35 25.9,    87 Ohio                    21 11.0
 81%  64 Nevada - Reno           52 39.0,   101 Boise State             24 25.8
 81%  25 Michigan                15 28.4,    67 Minnesota               10 14.8
 80%   8 Florida                 38 21.1,    24 Georgia                  7  9.3
 79%  94 Memphis State           35 24.6,   107 Arkansas State          19 11.9
 77%  34 North Carolina State    46 26.2,    58 Clemson                 39 16.4
 76%  15 Southern California     33 34.7,    33 Washington              10 25.5
 75%  57 Fresno State            28 32.9,    96 New Mexico              20 25.2
 74%  62 Utah                    49 30.6,    95 San Jose State          17 23.0
 72% 102 Northeast Louisiana     20 23.2,   104 Alabama - Birmingham    14 16.8
 72%  49 Brigham Young           13 29.8,    66 San Diego State          0 22.7
 71%  59 Oklahoma                17 28.0,    73 Iowa State              14 21.8
 70%  30 Notre Dame              27 26.9,    45 Baylor                   3 20.2
 68%  76 Tulsa                   20 28.0,    97 Nevada - Las Vegas      16 22.3
 68%  13 Texas A&M               17 27.7,    39 Oklahoma State           6 21.7
 61%  43 Arizona State           38 29.3,    61 Washington State        28 26.3
 60%  42 California              20 15.8,    50 Oregon State            19 13.4
 59%  51 Wyoming                 34 19.8,    65 Texas Christian         27 17.5
 59%  20 Missouri                28 20.8,    32 Texas Tech              26 18.7
 56%  27 Virginia Tech           27 23.0,    21 West Virginia           13 22.7
 52%  60 Houston                 34 23.9,    75 East Carolina           31 23.1

 50%  98 Central Michigan        28 24.7,    93 Akron                   27 24.8
 40% 100 Utah State              29 33.1,    99 New Mexico State        26 33.3
 40%  85 Idaho                   41 23.3,    92 North Texas             23 24.8
 38%  35 Arkansas                24 14.6,    31 Auburn                  21 17.1
 29%  83 Bowling Green           34 20.7,    55 Marshall                13 27.6
 28%  89 Vanderbilt              36 15.5,    63 Duke                    33 22.5
 27%  22 Arizona                 38 28.8,     6 Oregon                   3 36.6
 25%  46 Alabama                 30 15.9,    23 Southern Mississippi    20 24.7
 24%  16 Texas                   20 27.0,     4 Nebraska                16 37.2
 23% 106 Rutgers                 21 29.4,    86 Temple                  10 37.2
 16%  52 Mississippi             37 21.5,    11 Louisiana State         31 36.9
 15%  82 Rice                    35 15.7,    36 Colorado State          23 32.1

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                5 1.45   8 0.98  15 0.80  12 0.99  10 1.09   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  50  38 0.99

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

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