rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 77 East Carolina 110 Cincinnati 9 Arizona 76 Washington State 1 Kansas State 49 Baylor 6 Nebraska 75 Iowa State 15 Tulane 88 Memphis State 100 Northeast Louisiana 112 Southwestern Louisiana 4 Tennessee 105 Alabama - Birmingham 17 Texas A&M 60 Oklahoma 5 Florida 84 Vanderbilt 8 Wisconsin 61 Minnesota 80-90% chance of victory: 30 Louisiana Tech 103 Arkansas State 11 Air Force 79 Army 24 Notre Dame 83 Boston College 54 Brigham Young 94 New Mexico 3 Florida State 19 Virginia 25 Southern Mississippi 68 Houston 47 Indiana 87 Illinois 67 Kansas 95 North Texas 70 Marshall 98 Central Michigan 43 North Carolina State 71 Wake Forest 55 Miami - Ohio 102 Northern Illinois 20 Purdue 73 Northwestern 91 Ohio 108 Eastern Michigan 2 Ohio State 36 Michigan State 7 California - Los Angeles 51 Oregon State 62 Pittsburgh 93 Temple 16 Southern California 59 Stanford 53 Utah 89 Texas - El Paso 52 Nevada - Reno 99 Utah State 70-80% chance of victory: 33 Arkansas 48 Mississippi 85 Western Michigan 109 Ball State 80 Bowling Green 92 Akron 39 Colorado State 50 Wyoming 18 Louisiana State 41 Alabama 21 Missouri 38 Colorado 86 Navy 104 Rutgers 46 North Carolina 81 Maryland 13 Oregon 35 Washington 63 Southern Methodist 82 Tulsa 12 Texas 40 Oklahoma State 60-70% chance of victory: 37 Auburn 45 Central Florida 34 Kentucky 32 Mississippi State 14 Penn State 26 Michigan 101 New Mexico State 106 Boise State 64 Texas Christian 72 Rice 10 Syracuse 27 West Virginia 50-60% chance of victory: 44 Arizona State 42 California 97 San Jose State 107 Hawaii 57 Fresno State 66 San Diego State
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