prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
82% 3 Tennessee 24 31.3, 27 Mississippi State 14 16.4
79% 20 Air Force 20 30.9, 46 Brigham Young 13 17.7
78% 58 Marshall 23 20.0, 81 Toledo 17 10.0
73% 73 Army 34 28.5, 92 Navy 30 20.6
21% 49 Miami - Florida 49 27.5, 6 California - Los Angel 45 39.4
16% 15 Texas A&M 36 13.1, 1 Kansas State 33 30.7
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 0 0.00 4 0.97 2 0.60 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected): 6 4 0.84
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net