rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 42 Duquesne 232 Saint Peter's 23 Fairfield 162 Central Connecticut 36 Florida A&M 203 Morgan State 12 Lehigh 145 Columbia 8 Michigan State 88 Iowa 2 Nebraska 73 Oklahoma State 45 Louisiana Tech 218 Southwestern Louisiana 3 Texas A&M 135 Texas Tech 20 Georgia Southern 235 Virginia Military 1 Florida State 153 Duke 80-90% chance of victory: 25 Tennessee State 130 Alabama A&M 92 Alabama - Birmingham 166 Northeast Louisiana 105 Albany 186 Stony Brook 51 Appalachian State 159 East Tennessee State 160 Jacksonville 233 Austin Peay 39 Utah 156 Boise State 96 Boston College 198 Northeastern 113 Southern Utah 211 California Poly 142 Marist 225 Canisius 89 Central Florida 214 Eastern Illinois 5 Florida 35 Alabama 49 Georgetown 182 Iona 121 Kansas 209 Southern Methodist 64 Louisville 176 Eastern Michigan 41 Hofstra 158 Massachusetts 133 North Carolina A&T 230 Norfolk State 21 Minnesota 109 Northwestern 98 Northwestern State 177 Nicholls State 124 Ohio 215 Kent State 94 Pittsburgh 202 Temple 33 Montana 140 Portland State 139 Eastern Kentucky 227 Southeast Missouri State 80 Drake 172 Valparaiso 82 Wake Forest 171 Rutgers 78 Sacramento State 221 Weber State 71 West Virginia 143 Navy 60 Furman 208 Western Carolina 134 Grambling 222 Prairie View 70-80% chance of victory: 10 Georgia Tech 34 Maryland 47 Brigham Young 116 Utah State 30 California - Los Angeles 115 Arizona State 200 Arkansas State 219 Sam Houston State 55 East Carolina 129 Army 174 Baylor 207 North Texas 181 Northern Illinois 226 Buffalo 205 California State - North 228 Idaho State 62 Colorado State 122 New Mexico State 128 Dayton 195 Butler 136 Bethune - Cookman 201 Delaware State 77 Fresno State 123 Texas Christian 91 Texas - El Paso 173 Hawaii 38 Northern Iowa 101 Illinois State 53 Illinois 117 Indiana 24 Arkansas 81 Kentucky 56 Missouri 107 Memphis State 69 Troy State 188 Middle Tennessee State 189 Alabama State 229 Mississippi Valley State 16 Ohio State 28 Wisconsin 84 Robert Morris 112 Wagner 231 Sacred Heart 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 137 Samford 196 Jacksonville State 83 Yale 144 San Diego 65 Mississippi 132 South Carolina 22 Southern California 37 Oregon State 59 Stanford 114 San Jose State 19 Syracuse 43 Tulane 17 Tennessee 32 Auburn 212 Tennessee Tech 234 Tennessee - Martin 46 Mississippi State 103 Vanderbilt 104 Villanova 154 James Madison 9 Oregon 57 Washington 108 Western Illinois 138 Southwest Missouri State 118 Western Michigan 178 Central Michigan 60-70% chance of victory: 199 Ball State 206 Akron 93 Toledo 148 Bowling Green 170 Chattanooga 185 Wofford 63 Clemson 66 North Carolina 175 Connecticut 194 Rhode Island 54 Georgia 61 Louisiana State 68 Colgate 125 Harvard 193 Lafayette 197 Dartmouth 111 McNeese State 149 Maine 11 Michigan 18 Purdue 157 Nevada - Reno 183 Nevada - Las Vegas 168 New Hampshire 180 Stephen F. Austin 146 Northern Arizona 141 Eastern Washington 26 Notre Dame 27 Oklahoma 106 Bucknell 152 Pennsylvania 163 Princeton 192 Fordham 210 Siena 213 La Salle 90 South Florida 100 Southern Illinois 216 The Citadel 224 South Carolina State 126 Towson 150 Holy Cross 14 Virginia Tech 31 Virginia 99 California 151 Washington State 72 Wyoming 79 Idaho 50-60% chance of victory: 86 Cornell 110 Brown 164 Delaware 147 Richmond 190 Indiana State 167 Youngstown State 40 Marshall 67 Miami - Ohio 29 Air Force 52 San Diego State 4 Kansas State 13 Texas 119 Rice 155 Tulsa 179 Western Kentucky 165 Murray State 70 Hampton 76 Southern
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