rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 80 Elon 214 Charleston Southern 33 Florida A&M 195 Delaware State 59 Montana 222 Idaho State 3 Nebraska 96 Kansas 2 Kansas State 183 Baylor 16 Lehigh 165 Towson 17 Marshall 134 Northern Illinois 46 Massachusetts 163 Rhode Island 116 Morehead State 232 Austin Peay 95 Troy State 219 Nicholls State 4 Wisconsin 110 Northwestern 14 Notre Dame 130 Navy 21 Ohio State 129 Iowa 1 Virginia Tech 79 Pittsburgh 9 Tennessee 141 South Carolina 80-90% chance of victory: 77 Appalachian State 148 Chattanooga 137 Arkansas State 218 Southwestern Louisiana 155 Ohio 221 Ball State 67 North Carolina A&T 203 Bethune - Cookman 169 California State - North 227 Weber State 7 Oklahoma 55 Colorado 119 Duquesne 208 Siena 30 Georgia Southern 158 East Tennessee State 20 Georgia Tech 78 North Carolina State 159 Hampton 215 South Carolina State 152 Harvard 201 Dartmouth 11 Michigan 111 Indiana 8 Texas 52 Iowa State 69 Jackson State 172 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 106 Saint John's 212 La Salle 36 Maryland 105 Duke 12 Miami - Florida 86 West Virginia 117 New Mexico 192 Nevada - Las Vegas 82 Idaho 180 New Mexico State 94 Delaware 206 Northeastern 205 Monmouth 234 Sacred Heart 171 Holy Cross 225 Saint Mary's 132 Samford 190 Liberty 47 Rice 177 Southern Methodist 136 Stephen F. Austin 220 Jacksonville State 32 Syracuse 101 Boston College 50 Tennessee State 125 Eastern Kentucky 211 Southeast Missouri State 236 Tennessee - Martin 85 Fresno State 186 Tulsa 6 Florida State 43 Virginia 223 Western Carolina 235 Virginia Military 62 Yale 154 Pennsylvania 5 Florida 38 Georgia 70-80% chance of victory: 24 Arkansas 39 Auburn 23 Brigham Young 40 Air Force 29 Southern California 76 California 204 Iona 231 Canisius 102 Central Florida 142 Eastern Michigan 27 Utah 70 Colorado State 81 Richmond 146 Connecticut 99 Dayton 145 Valparaiso 131 Brown 209 Fordham 22 East Carolina 75 Houston 10 Penn State 41 Illinois 74 James Madison 114 South Florida 217 Kent State 226 Buffalo 140 Marist 202 Lafayette 56 Louisville 91 Alabama - Birmingham 162 Northern Arizona 193 Montana State 84 Northern Iowa 138 Indiana State 128 Northwestern State 166 Southwest Texas State 34 Oregon 64 Arizona State 230 Saint Peter's 233 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 107 Drake 191 San Diego 149 Temple 182 Rutgers 28 Texas A&M 42 Oklahoma State 126 Texas - El Paso 167 San Jose State 151 Wofford 210 The Citadel 26 Oregon State 89 Washington State 164 Alabama A&M 196 Alabama State 60-70% chance of victory: 104 Albany 103 Robert Morris 160 Bowling Green 170 Central Michigan 135 Portland State 176 California Poly 61 Arizona 100 California - Los Angeles 66 Texas Christian 115 Hawaii 194 McNeese State 199 Sam Houston State 13 Minnesota 15 Purdue 72 Missouri 71 Texas Tech 179 Nevada - Reno 174 North Texas 198 Howard 216 Norfolk State 181 Northeast Louisiana 197 Middle Tennessee State 224 Prairie View 229 Mississippi Valley State 188 Princeton 184 Columbia 63 Louisiana Tech 113 Toledo 60 Memphis State 109 Tulane 124 William & Mary 139 Maine 50-60% chance of victory: 87 Western Michigan 127 Akron 18 Southern Mississippi 25 Alabama 123 Wagner 153 Cornell 178 Western Kentucky 200 Eastern Illinois 157 Eastern Washington 147 Sacramento State 57 Fairfield 83 Georgetown 173 Texas Southern 187 Grambling 48 Mississippi 73 Louisiana State 68 Cincinnati 90 Miami - Ohio 120 New Hampshire 108 Villanova 65 Furman 92 North Carolina 168 Southern Illinois 150 Southwest Missouri State 189 Central Connecticut 207 Stony Brook 156 Tennessee Tech 144 Murray State 97 Boise State 118 Utah State 35 Clemson 45 Wake Forest 51 Washington 44 Stanford 112 Illinois State 133 Youngstown State
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