rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 117 Albany 234 Sacred Heart 33 Hofstra 229 Buffalo 3 Florida 81 Vanderbilt 70 Kansas 185 Baylor 15 Marshall 219 Kent State 44 Louisiana Tech 176 Northeast Louisiana 196 Middle Tennessee State 235 Tennessee - Martin 91 Robert Morris 232 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 144 Sacramento State 227 Idaho State 121 Saint John's 233 Canisius 52 Appalachian State 236 Virginia Military 1 Virginia Tech 72 West Virginia 80-90% chance of victory: 40 Air Force 128 Army 16 Alabama 78 Louisiana State 19 East Carolina 95 Alabama - Birmingham 150 Alcorn State 225 Mississippi Valley State 114 Bucknell 181 Holy Cross 41 Montana 180 California Poly 27 Clemson 94 Duke 151 Eastern Michigan 220 Ball State 74 Fairfield 171 Marist 2 Kansas State 34 Colorado 211 La Salle 230 Saint Peter's 85 Elon 190 Liberty 17 Michigan 105 Northwestern 4 Nebraska 25 Texas A&M 88 North Carolina A&T 186 Delaware State 127 Northwestern State 216 Jacksonville State 10 Oklahoma 55 Missouri 38 Oregon 99 Washington State 131 Portland State 188 California State - North 174 Sam Houston State 224 Nicholls State 166 Southwest Texas State 210 McNeese State 57 Syracuse 136 Temple 66 Tennessee State 168 Tennessee Tech 51 Jackson State 177 Texas Southern 108 Texas - El Paso 192 Tulsa 77 Troy State 140 Stephen F. Austin 30 Utah 104 Wyoming 142 Northern Arizona 223 Weber State 70-80% chance of victory: 32 Mississippi State 54 Kentucky 49 Auburn 98 Central Florida 101 Boise State 154 Arkansas State 118 Toledo 179 Central Michigan 172 Chattanooga 214 The Citadel 149 Connecticut 191 Northeastern 31 Florida A&M 50 Southern 21 Georgia Southern 48 Furman 89 Houston 125 Tulane 193 Howard 217 South Carolina State 64 Illinois 132 Iowa 100 Drake 184 Jacksonville 182 Lafayette 207 Fordham 76 James Madison 159 Maine 90 Miami - Ohio 134 Akron 11 Arkansas 53 Mississippi 148 Wagner 201 Monmouth 153 Eastern Washington 205 Montana State 96 Idaho 160 Nevada - Reno 65 Wake Forest 123 North Carolina 9 Texas 62 Oklahoma State 29 Oregon State 68 California 7 Penn State 12 Minnesota 14 Miami - Florida 69 Pittsburgh 178 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 226 Prairie View 111 Navy 202 Rutgers 167 Southern Utah 222 Saint Mary's 36 Southern California 63 Arizona State 8 Tennessee 26 Notre Dame 80 Dayton 155 Towson 18 Georgia Tech 61 Virginia 146 Samford 213 Western Carolina 133 Wofford 169 East Tennessee State 129 Youngstown State 157 Southwest Missouri State 60-70% chance of victory: 189 Alabama State 197 Grambling 120 Brown 124 Harvard 203 Columbia 215 Dartmouth 87 Yale 139 Cornell 71 Fresno State 82 Rice 84 Georgetown 106 Duquesne 156 Indiana State 165 Southern Illinois 20 Southern Mississippi 39 Memphis State 24 Michigan State 22 Ohio State 116 Eastern Kentucky 145 Murray State 59 Colorado State 102 New Mexico 143 Pennsylvania 164 Princeton 5 Wisconsin 13 Purdue 119 William & Mary 152 Rhode Island 45 Massachusetts 97 Richmond 23 Brigham Young 56 San Diego State 126 Hawaii 175 San Jose State 47 Iowa State 86 Texas Tech 50-60% chance of victory: 35 Washington 46 Arizona 163 Hampton 183 Bethune - Cookman 73 Cincinnati 67 Louisville 28 Lehigh 42 Colgate 110 Illinois State 93 Western Illinois 122 New Hampshire 113 Delaware 206 Morgan State 221 Norfolk State 58 Maryland 79 North Carolina State 198 San Diego 195 Stony Brook 209 Southeast Missouri State 204 Eastern Illinois 141 Utah State 137 New Mexico State
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