rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 2 St. Louis over 25 San Diego 4 Baltimore over 27 Cleveland 7 Miami over 31 Cincinnati 13 Green Bay over 28 Chicago 70-80% chance of victory: 18 Carolina over 26 Dallas 12 Tennessee over 21 New York Giants 14 Jacksonville over 23 Pittsburgh 5 Denver over 17 New England 1 Tampa Bay over 19 Washington 15 Philadelphia over 22 Atlanta 6 Kansas City over 16 Seattle 60-70% chance of victory: 11 Minnesota over 20 Detroit 24 San Francisco over 30 Arizona 50-60% chance of victory: 3 Indianapolis over 10 Buffalo
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