2000 Week 6 (8-9 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 86%  10 Tennessee               23 31.8,    31 Cincinnati              14  9.4
 78%   9 Oakland                 34 34.2,    23 San Francisco           28 22.5
 78%   7 Denver                  21 29.5,    25 San Diego                7 17.0
 75%   2 Baltimore               15 21.7,    18 Jacksonville            10 12.3
 73%   5 Miami                   22 16.2,    12 Buffalo                 13  9.7
 61%  29 Arizona                 29 18.3,    30 Cleveland               21 16.0
 61%  19 New York Giants         13 19.6,    24 Atlanta                  6 17.1
 57%  20 Detroit                 31 18.3,    17 Green Bay               24 17.1

 41%  22 Carolina                26 16.4,    16 Seattle                  3 18.1
 41%  11 Minnesota               30 19.3,     3 Tampa Bay               23 21.1
 38%  14 New England             24 18.3,     4 Indianapolis            16 21.6
 37%  15 Washington              17 16.5,    13 Philadelphia            14 20.3
 36%  28 New Orleans             31 16.3,    27 Chicago                 10 20.2
 25%  21 Pittsburgh              20 14.8,     6 New York Jets            3 25.4

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                3 0.57   5 0.64   5 1.05   1 1.16   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  14   8 0.84

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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