rank projected winning team rank projected losing team --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 4 Denver over 31 Cincinnati 80-90% chance of victory: 9 Philadelphia over 28 Chicago 10 Pittsburgh over 30 Cleveland 70-80% chance of victory: 3 Tampa Bay over 19 Detroit 25 Dallas over 29 Arizona 6 Indianapolis over 15 New England 2 Baltimore over 12 Tennessee 7 Minnesota over 16 Buffalo 8 Oakland over 24 Seattle 60-70% chance of victory: 22 New Orleans over 27 Atlanta 1 St. Louis over 13 Kansas City 21 Carolina over 23 San Francisco 11 Washington over 20 Jacksonville 50-60% chance of victory: 5 Miami over 14 New York Jets
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