6 Feb 2002: Average model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk u spd  off  def                          rnk u spd  off  def
  1 1   2 11.3  2.6 St. Louis                 17 *   0  9.5  1.9 Tennessee               
  2 2   2  9.5  3.6 Philadelphia              18 *   0  8.7  2.4 Kansas City             
  3 4   1  8.8  3.8 Baltimore                 19 *   0  8.8  2.2 Seattle                 
  4 4   1  9.2  3.4 Pittsburgh                20 *   0  9.0  2.0 San Diego               
  5 5   2 10.3  2.7 Oakland                   21 *   0  8.3  2.4 Cleveland               
  6 6   1  9.3  3.3 New England               22 *   0  8.9  1.8 New Orleans             
  7 7   1  9.9  2.8 Green Bay                 23 *   0  7.8  2.6 Washington              
  8 8   1  9.6  2.7 San Francisco             24 *   0  7.7  2.7 Cincinnati              
  9 9   1  8.9  3.1 Tampa Bay                 25 *   0  8.8  1.7 Minnesota               
 10 *   1  8.6  3.3 Chicago                   26 *   0  8.3  1.7 Buffalo                 
 11 *   1  9.2  2.8 New York Jets             27 *   0  7.4  2.3 Dallas                  
 12 *   1  8.5  3.3 Miami                     28 *  -1  7.9  1.8 Atlanta                 
 13 *   0  9.0  2.6 Jacksonville              29 *  -1  8.2  1.5 Arizona                 
 14 *   0  9.2  2.3 Denver                    30 *  -1  8.1  1.4 Detroit                 
 15 *   0  8.7  2.6 New York Giants           31 *  -2  7.0  1.8 Carolina                
 16 *   0 10.4  1.2 Indianapolis            

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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