6 Feb 2002: Season end model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from model fit for the final week in the season.

rnk u spd  off  def                          rnk u spd  off  def
  1 1   2 11.3  2.4 St. Louis                 17 *   0  9.2  2.2 Kansas City             
  2 2   2 10.0  3.4 Philadelphia              18 *   0  8.3  2.8 Washington              
  3 3   2  9.4  3.5 New England               19 *   0  8.6  2.6 Cincinnati              
  4 4   2  8.7  3.8 Baltimore                 20 *   0  9.0  2.1 Seattle                 
  5 5   2  9.5  3.3 Pittsburgh                21 *   0  9.7  1.4 Tennessee               
  6 6   2  9.8  3.0 San Francisco             22 *   0  8.6  1.9 San Diego               
  7 7   1 10.4  2.4 Oakland                   23 *   0  8.4  1.9 Cleveland               
  8 8   1  9.9  2.4 Green Bay                 24 *   0  8.5  1.9 Buffalo                 
  9 9   1  8.9  3.0 Chicago                   25 *   0  8.5  1.9 Minnesota               
 10 *   1  9.3  2.6 New York Jets             26 *   0  8.4  1.6 New Orleans             
 11 *   1  8.1  3.4 Miami                     27 *   0  7.0  2.6 Dallas                  
 12 *   0 10.3  1.7 Indianapolis              28 *  -1  7.9  1.7 Atlanta                 
 13 *   0  8.8  2.8 Tampa Bay                 29 *  -1  8.2  1.4 Arizona                 
 14 *   0  9.1  2.5 New York Giants           30 *  -2  7.5  1.3 Detroit                 
 15 *   0  8.8  2.7 Denver                    31 *  -3  6.1  1.5 Carolina                
 16 *   0  9.1  2.3 Jacksonville            

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=* for uncertainty greater than 9 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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