2001 Week 01 (9-10 Sep) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 86%   1 Baltimore               17 25.3,    26 Chicago                  6  4.1
 76%  23 Seattle                  9 24.6,    31 Cleveland                6 14.2
 69%   3 Oakland                 27 26.8,    19 Kansas City             24 18.9
 68%   7 Tampa Bay               10 22.6,    25 Dallas                   6 16.1
 66%  24 San Francisco           16 23.9,    27 Atlanta                 13 18.2
 62%  13 Green Bay               28 20.9,    17 Detroit                  6 17.5
 53%   6 Indianapolis            45 23.6,     9 New York Jets           24 22.9
 51%   8 Denver                  31 20.9,     4 New York Giants         20 20.7

 49%  12 Jacksonville            21 20.3,     5 Pittsburgh               3 20.4
 41%  18 New Orleans             24 18.4,    20 Buffalo                  6 20.1
 39%  15 St. Louis               20 26.5,    10 Philadelphia            17 30.4
 36%  21 Carolina                24 18.5,    16 Minnesota               13 23.3
 35%  29 Cincinnati              23 14.0,    22 New England             17 18.3
 25%  28 San Diego               30 12.9,    14 Washington               3 22.0
 21%  11 Miami                   31  9.3,     2 Tennessee               23 20.0

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 0.93   7 0.88   3 0.44   1 1.16   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  15   8 0.81

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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