2001 Week 5 (7-8 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 92%   6 New York Giants         23 32.6,    31 Washington               9  4.0
 88%   4 Oakland                 28 39.9,    29 Dallas                  21 13.2
 83%   2 St. Louis               35 36.9,    27 Detroit                  0 18.5
 79%   5 Baltimore               26 20.0,    19 Tennessee                7  9.1
 67%  10 New Orleans             28 21.0,    20 Minnesota               15 15.5
 67%   7 Denver                  20 27.6,     9 Kansas City              6 20.8
 65%   8 Pittsburgh              16 14.5,    18 Cincinnati               7  9.8
 62%  14 Miami                   30 19.4,    15 New England             10 16.1
 60%  25 New York Jets           42 20.0,    28 Buffalo                 36 17.8
 60%  13 Chicago                 31 17.6,    21 Atlanta                  3 15.3
 59%  23 San Francisco           24 15.8,    24 Carolina                14 14.3

 37%  22 Cleveland               20 15.5,    11 San Diego               16 19.1
 30%  26 Seattle                 24 13.8,    12 Jacksonville            15 21.0
 16%  16 Tampa Bay               14  7.9,     1 Green Bay               10 23.2
  8%  30 Arizona                 21  7.2,     3 Philadelphia            20 43.2

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.69   8 1.17   1 1.27   3 0.78   2 0.55   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  15  11 1.01

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net