2001 Week 6 (14-15 Oct) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 87%  11 Chicago                 20 28.3,    29 Arizona                 13  9.2
 86%  20 Minnesota               31 29.0,    31 Detroit                 26  8.0
 80%   1 St. Louis               15 28.3,     8 New York Giants         14 14.5
 79%  25 Dallas                   9 27.9,    30 Washington               7 15.6
 74%  12 New Orleans             27 17.9,    26 Carolina                25 10.0
 69%  14 New England             29 24.9,    21 San Diego               26 18.0
 67%  19 San Francisco           37 24.9,    28 Atlanta                 31 18.8
 61%   4 Oakland                 23 33.2,    10 Indianapolis            18 30.3
 59%   3 Green Bay               31 17.1,     2 Baltimore               23 15.3
 57%   7 Pittsburgh              20 11.2,    13 Kansas City             17 10.2
 53%  17 New York Jets           21 20.3,    15 Miami                   17 19.7

 42%  24 Cincinnati              24 13.6,    23 Cleveland               14 14.9
 27%  18 Seattle                 34 18.3,     5 Denver                  21 26.6
 23%  22 Tennessee               31  9.6,     6 Tampa Bay               28 18.7

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 1.32   3 1.53   5 0.79   2 1.16   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  14  11 1.12

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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