2001 Week 13 (29 Nov - 3 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 85%   6 Tampa Bay               16 24.5,    31 Cincinnati              13  7.9
 82%  15 New Orleans             27 25.8,    30 Carolina                23 11.5
 79%   2 Pittsburgh              21 27.9,    21 Minnesota               16 14.9
 78%   5 Baltimore               39 29.4,    24 Indianapolis            27 17.8
 77%  12 Chicago                 13 27.8,    27 Detroit                 10 16.6
 77%   8 San Francisco           35 32.1,    26 Buffalo                  0 20.6
 75%   3 St. Louis               35 28.2,    22 Atlanta                  6 19.0
 69%   7 Philadelphia            23 18.1,    25 Kansas City             10 11.8
 62%  18 Seattle                 13 24.9,    23 San Diego               10 21.3
 56%  19 Miami                   21 21.3,    14 Denver                  10 20.2

 48%   9 Green Bay               28 24.8,    13 Jacksonville            21 25.3
 37%  10 New England             17 16.4,     4 New York Jets           16 20.3
 35%  17 Tennessee               31 16.2,    11 Cleveland               15 21.1
 20%  29 Dallas                  20 10.2,    16 Washington              14 22.3
 12%  28 Arizona                 34 15.0,     1 Oakland                 31 36.9

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                2 0.93   4 0.77   6 1.07   3 0.78   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  15  10 0.92

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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