2001 Week 15 (15-17 Dec) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 83%   9 New England             12 30.9,    31 Buffalo                  9 15.6
 82%  11 New York Jets           15 20.6,    29 Cincinnati              14  7.5
 77%   8 Philadelphia            20 19.7,    25 Washington               6 10.1
 72%   5 Oakland                 13 28.9,    19 San Diego                6 20.9
 68%  20 New York Giants         17 22.7,    28 Arizona                 13 16.7
 67%   1 St. Louis               34 25.9,    12 New Orleans             21 19.9
 64%  27 Indianapolis            41 26.9,    30 Atlanta                 27 21.9
 61%  14 Kansas City             26 20.2,    13 Denver                  23 17.7
 56%  22 Seattle                 29 17.4,    21 Dallas                   3 16.4
 56%  16 Jacksonville            15 20.0,    23 Cleveland               10 18.9

 44%  24 Detroit                 27 24.5,    18 Minnesota               24 25.8
 42%  10 San Francisco           21 18.3,     4 Miami                    0 19.9
 36%  15 Tennessee               26 21.3,     6 Green Bay               20 26.2
 33%   3 Pittsburgh              26 13.5,     2 Baltimore               21 18.4
 32%  17 Chicago                 27 10.0,     7 Tampa Bay                3 15.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 0.88   7 0.87   2 1.34   2 1.21   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  15  10 1.00

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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