20 Jan 2002: Current model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  0   3 11.3  3.3 Oakland                   17  1   0  9.7  1.7 Tennessee               
  2  0   3  9.3  4.4 Tampa Bay                 18  1   0  8.2  2.7 Buffalo                 
  3  1   2  9.8  3.1 New York Jets             19  3   0  9.4  1.8 St. Louis               
  4  0   1  8.8  3.7 Philadelphia              20  5   0  7.4  3.3 Carolina                
  5  1   1  9.6  3.0 Denver                    21  1   0  9.5  1.6 San Francisco           
  6  1   1  9.7  2.7 New York Giants           22  1   0  8.4  2.5 Green Bay               
  7  1   1  9.2  3.0 Miami                     23  1   0  7.5  2.7 Chicago                 
  8  1   1 10.0  2.4 Seattle                   24  2   0  8.4  2.0 Washington              
  9  3   1  9.1  3.0 Atlanta                   25  1   0  8.3  2.0 Baltimore               
 10  1   1  9.7  2.4 Kansas City               26  3   0  8.6  1.7 New Orleans             
 11  2   1  9.4  2.6 New England               27  1   0  8.7  1.5 Indianapolis            
 12  1   1 10.5  1.7 Pittsburgh                28  0  -1  7.1  2.2 Cincinnati              
 13  1   0  9.3  2.2 Cleveland                 29  0  -1  7.7  1.7 Arizona                 
 14  2   0  8.4  2.7 Jacksonville              30  0  -1  8.5  0.8 Detroit                 
 15  1   0 10.1  1.5 Minnesota                 31  0  -1  6.7  2.0 Dallas                  
 16  1   0  8.9  2.3 San Diego                 32  0  -2  5.5  2.3 Houston                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net