2002 Week 9 (3-4 Nov) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 87%   2 Tampa Bay               38 26.2,    27 Minnesota               24  7.0
 85%   1 Philadelphia            19 25.9,    25 Chicago                 13  8.2
 74%   3 Green Bay               24 23.6,    10 Miami                   10 15.5
 72%   5 Pittsburgh              23 25.6,    19 Cleveland               20 17.9
 63%   9 St. Louis               27 25.3,    18 Arizona                 14 21.0
 59%  16 Atlanta                 20 18.0,    13 Baltimore               17 16.5
 58%  26 Detroit                  9 18.4,    24 Dallas                   7 17.1
 51%  20 New York Giants         24 14.7,    17 Jacksonville            17 14.6

 41%  14 New England             38 22.6,    15 Buffalo                  7 24.4
 37%  29 Washington              14 16.7,    22 Seattle                  3 20.6
 33%  28 Tennessee               23 24.9,    21 Indianapolis            15 31.4
 30%  12 San Francisco           23 20.3,     7 Oakland                 20 27.6
 21%  32 Cincinnati              38 12.0,    23 Houston                  3 23.1
 12%  30 New York Jets           44  8.8,     4 San Diego               13 29.8

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                4 1.32   3 0.52   4 0.68   3 0.77   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,num_right/expected):  14   8 0.82

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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