2002 Postseason: Divisional Playoffs (11-12 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 79%   3 Tampa Bay               31 23.2,    16 San Francisco            6 11.9
 71%   2 Philadelphia            20 22.3,    10 Atlanta                  6 15.5
 67%   5 Tennessee               34 23.3,    12 Pittsburgh              31 17.4
 64%   1 Oakland                 30 22.5,     4 New York Jets           10 18.2

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                0 0.00   2 1.52   2 1.33   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   4   4   2.8 1.42

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: predicted scores are not released until after game time

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