25 Jan 2005: Average model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  0   2 14.2  6.5 New England               17  2   0 13.7  4.8 Cincinnati              
  2  1   2 15.5  5.3 Indianapolis              18  3   0 12.3  5.8 Miami                   
  3  3   1 15.4  4.7 Kansas City               19  3   0 12.9  5.3 Atlanta                 
  4  2   1 13.5  6.1 Philadelphia              20  3   0 13.5  4.8 Tennessee               
  5  3   1 14.0  5.7 San Diego                 21  2   0 13.3  4.8 New Orleans             
  6  1   1 13.7  5.8 Denver                    22  3   0 13.2  4.8 St. Louis               
  7  2   1 13.6  5.9 Pittsburgh                23  2   0 13.1  4.8 Oakland                 
  8  1   1 13.0  6.2 New York Jets             24  2   0 12.2  5.3 Houston                 
  9  1   1 12.9  6.2 Baltimore                 25  2   0 12.3  5.2 Detroit                 
 10  2   1 13.3  5.9 Buffalo                   26  2   0 11.7  5.6 Washington              
 11  1   0 13.1  5.7 Carolina                  27  4   0 12.0  5.3 Arizona                 
 12  1   0 13.9  5.0 Green Bay                 28  1   0 12.2  5.0 New York Giants         
 13  1   0 14.0  4.8 Minnesota                 29  1   0 12.4  4.9 Dallas                  
 14  1   0 13.6  5.0 Seattle                   30  1   0 11.3  5.6 Chicago                 
 15  1   0 11.8  6.3 Jacksonville              31  0  -1 11.9  5.0 Cleveland               
 16  3   0 12.0  6.1 Tampa Bay                 32  0  -1 12.3  4.3 San Francisco           

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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