25 Jan 2005: Current model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  0   3 14.3  6.6 New England               17  2   0 13.6  4.8 Seattle                 
  2  1   2 15.3  5.3 Indianapolis              18  2   0 13.5  4.9 New Orleans             
  3  3   1 15.5  4.8 Kansas City               19  2   0 11.7  6.2 Jacksonville            
  4  2   1 13.8  5.9 Denver                    20  5   0 11.9  6.0 Tampa Bay               
  5  1   1 13.9  5.8 San Diego                 21  4   0 13.6  4.7 Tennessee               
  6  2   1 13.6  5.9 Buffalo                   22  3   0 13.2  4.9 Oakland                 
  7  1   1 13.2  6.1 Philadelphia              23  2   0 13.2  4.8 St. Louis               
  8  1   1 13.1  6.2 New York Jets             24  2   0 12.4  5.3 Detroit                 
  9  1   1 13.5  5.7 Pittsburgh                25  2   0 12.1  5.4 Arizona                 
 10  1   1 12.9  6.1 Baltimore                 26  4   0 11.8  5.6 Washington              
 11  2   0 14.0  5.1 Green Bay                 27  4   0 12.0  5.4 Houston                 
 12  1   0 13.2  5.6 Carolina                  28  2   0 12.6  4.9 Dallas                  
 13  1   0 13.8  4.9 Minnesota                 29  1   0 12.3  4.7 New York Giants         
 14  2   0 13.9  4.9 Cincinnati                30  1   0 11.2  5.6 Chicago                 
 15  5   0 12.4  5.9 Miami                     31  1  -1 11.8  5.0 Cleveland               
 16  2   0 13.1  5.3 Atlanta                   32  0  -1 11.9  4.3 San Francisco           

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page

Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net