2004 Week 4 (3-4 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   3 New England               over   31 Buffalo                    24.5 to  7.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  13 Pittsburgh                over   29 Cincinnati                 24.5 to 17.5
   7 Carolina                  over   16 Atlanta                    21.0 to 14.0
  11 New Orleans               over   32 Arizona                    24.5 to 10.5
   4 Denver                    over   22 Tampa Bay                  17.5 to  7.0
   9 Baltimore                 over   18 Kansas City                24.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

   2 Indianapolis              over    6 Jacksonville               24.5 to 17.5
  15 Oakland                   over   30 Houston                    24.5 to 21.0
   5 Philadelphia              over   20 Chicago                    21.0 to 17.5
  23 Cleveland                 over   27 Washington                 21.0 to 17.5
  10 Green Bay                 over   19 New York Giants            24.5 to 17.5
  14 New York Jets             over   25 Miami                      17.5 to 17.5
   8 Tennessee                 over   17 San Diego                  21.0 to 17.5
  21 San Francisco             over   26 St. Louis                  28.0 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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