2004 Postseason: Divisional (15-16 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 69%   8 Philadelphia            27 26.4,    14 Minnesota               14 19.6
 67%   1 New England             20 28.4,     2 Indianapolis             3 22.5
 62%   6 Pittsburgh              20 19.9,     9 New York Jets           17 16.7
 50%  22 Atlanta                 47 22.3,    17 St. Louis               17 22.2

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.99   3 1.51   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   4   4   2.5 1.61

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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