2005 Week 4 (2-3 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

   4 Tampa Bay                 over   23 Detroit                    24.5 to 10.5

70-80% chance of victory:

  14 Jacksonville              over   17 Denver                     24.5 to 14.0
   1 Cincinnati                over   29 Houston                    28.0 to 14.0
  10 Atlanta                   over   27 Minnesota                  28.0 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  18 Buffalo                   over   28 New Orleans                21.0 to 17.5
   9 Kansas City               over    5 Philadelphia               21.0 to 17.5
   6 New England               over    8 San Diego                  24.5 to 21.0
  11 New York Giants           over   22 St. Louis                  28.0 to 17.5
  31 Baltimore                 over   24 New York Jets              17.5 to 14.0
  19 Oakland                   over   15 Dallas                     24.5 to 21.0
  30 San Francisco             over   32 Arizona                    24.5 to 21.0
   7 Carolina                  over   25 Green Bay                  24.5 to 17.5

50-60% chance of victory:

   2 Indianapolis              over   26 Tennessee                  21.0 to 21.0
  16 Washington                over   13 Seattle                    17.5 to 17.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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