20 Jul 2007: Average model rankings (NFL)

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1 10   1 14.5  4.5 St. Louis                 17  9   0 14.0  4.5 Detroit                 
  2  9   0 13.8  4.9 Chicago                   18 10   0 13.9  4.6 Jacksonville            
  3  8   0 14.1  4.7 Denver                    19  8   0 13.7  4.7 Baltimore               
  4  5   0 14.1  4.7 New England               20  4   0 13.7  4.7 Miami                   
  5  6   0 13.9  4.8 Washington                21  6   0 13.7  4.6 New York Giants         
  6 12   0 14.1  4.6 New Orleans               22 12   0 13.9  4.5 Green Bay               
  7  4   0 14.0  4.6 Dallas                    23  4   0 13.8  4.6 Minnesota               
  8  5   0 14.2  4.5 Indianapolis              24  4   0 13.6  4.7 Buffalo                 
  9  5   0 14.1  4.6 Seattle                   25  7   0 13.9  4.5 Atlanta                 
 10 15   0 13.9  4.7 Oakland                   26  8   0 13.7  4.6 Carolina                
 11  5   0 14.1  4.5 Kansas City               27  4   0 13.7  4.4 Tennessee               
 12  5   0 14.1  4.5 San Diego                 28 11   0 13.6  4.4 Cincinnati              
 13  8   0 13.7  4.9 Tampa Bay                 29  3   0 13.5  4.5 Arizona                 
 14  6   0 13.8  4.8 Pittsburgh                30  3   0 13.6  4.4 San Francisco           
 15  5   0 13.7  4.8 New York Jets             31  3  -1 11.8  4.1 Cleveland               
 16  6   0 13.9  4.7 Philadelphia              32  2  -2 11.8  3.5 Houston                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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