prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
69% 10 Philadelphia 24 41.4, 32 Houston 10 23.2
63% 26 New Orleans 19 35.5, 31 Cleveland 14 24.8
57% 2 Seattle 9 34.1, 25 Detroit 6 30.6
56% 8 St. Louis 18 35.4, 4 Denver 10 32.5
55% 6 New England 19 33.3, 21 Buffalo 17 30.6
52% 15 New York Jets 23 31.9, 23 Tennessee 16 31.0
52% 9 Pittsburgh 28 31.7, 18 Miami 17 30.6
52% 5 Indianapolis 26 32.8, 13 New York Giants 21 32.1
51% 27 Jacksonville 24 31.3, 19 Dallas 17 30.5
51% 22 Minnesota 19 33.2, 7 Washington 16 32.9
48% 14 San Diego 27 32.6, 16 Oakland 0 33.6
46% 20 Atlanta 20 31.2, 11 Carolina 6 33.4
45% 17 Baltimore 27 28.9, 1 Tampa Bay 0 31.5
43% 29 Arizona 34 30.8, 28 San Francisco 27 34.3
42% 24 Chicago 26 29.3, 3 Green Bay 0 33.3
41% 30 Cincinnati 23 32.1, 12 Kansas City 10 36.3
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
14 1.05 2 1.52 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 16 10 8.9 1.12
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net