2006 Week 4 (1-2 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  25 Oakland                   over   32 Cleveland                  35.0 to 14.0

70-80% chance of victory:

  21 Miami                     over   31 Houston                    31.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  10 Buffalo                   over   24 Minnesota                  31.5 to 24.5
  20 Kansas City               over   30 San Francisco              28.0 to 24.5
   5 Carolina                  over   11 New Orleans                28.0 to 24.5
  22 St. Louis                 over   26 Detroit                    28.0 to 24.5
   7 New England               over   14 Cincinnati                 28.0 to 21.0
   2 Philadelphia              over   17 Green Bay                  31.5 to 24.5

50-60% chance of victory:

  13 Atlanta                   over   23 Arizona                    24.5 to 24.5
  29 Dallas                    over   27 Tennessee                  24.5 to 24.5
   9 Indianapolis              over   15 New York Jets              28.0 to 24.5
   1 San Diego                 over    6 Baltimore                  24.5 to 24.5
  18 Jacksonville              over   12 Washington                 24.5 to 24.5
   3 Chicago                   over    8 Seattle                    28.0 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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