2006 Super Bowl XL (10 Feb) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 53%  10 Indianapolis            29 29.9,    19 Chicago                 17 29.3

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                1 1.90   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   1   1   0.5 1.90

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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