2007 Week 4 (30 Sep - 1 Oct) Forecast for the National Football League

                                                                   ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team         rank projected losing team     TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
 --- ----------------------          --- ----------------------    ---------------------

80-90% chance of victory:

  12 Atlanta                   over   32 Houston                    35.0 to 17.5

70-80% chance of victory:

   6 Baltimore                 over   31 Cleveland                  31.5 to 21.0
   2 Dallas                    over   22 St. Louis                  31.5 to 17.5

60-70% chance of victory:

  21 Miami                     over   30 Oakland                    28.0 to 17.5
  15 New York Jets             over   29 Buffalo                    24.5 to 17.5
   7 San Diego                 over   19 Kansas City                24.5 to 21.0
   3 Pittsburgh                over   25 Arizona                    28.0 to 21.0
   4 Indianapolis              over   13 Denver                     28.0 to 21.0
   1 New England               over   18 Cincinnati                 28.0 to 21.0

50-60% chance of victory:

  17 Minnesota                 over   11 Green Bay                  21.0 to 21.0
  16 Chicago                   over   23 Detroit                    24.5 to 24.5
   5 Tampa Bay                 over   20 Carolina                   21.0 to 17.5
  10 Seattle                   over   24 San Francisco              28.0 to 24.5
  26 Philadelphia              over   28 New York Giants            24.5 to 24.5

NOTE: the above scores are rounded to the nearest 3.5 points. Exact predicted scores are not released until after game time

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