2007 Postseason: Divisional (12-13 Jan) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 67%   1 New England             31 31.6,     5 Jacksonville            20 24.9
 64%   3 Green Bay               42 30.6,     8 Seattle                 20 25.4

 38%   6 New York Giants         21 25.2,     4 Dallas                  17 28.9
 35%   7 San Diego               28 24.7,     2 Indianapolis            24 30.6

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                0 0.00   4 0.78   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):   4   2   2.6 0.78

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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