19 Jan 2009: Average model rankings (NFL) for the 2008 season

Rankings determined from average of model fit over entire season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  4   1 14.7  5.4 New England               17  7   0 14.3  5.1 Denver                  
  2  5   1 14.2  5.7 Baltimore                 18  4   0 13.9  5.4 Jacksonville            
  3  6   1 14.6  5.4 Indianapolis              19  5   0 14.0  5.3 San Francisco           
  4 11   1 14.2  5.6 Tennessee                 20  4   0 13.9  5.3 Miami                   
  5  3   1 14.2  5.6 Philadelphia              21 10   0 14.1  5.2 Tampa Bay               
  6  3   1 14.4  5.4 New York Giants           22  5   0 14.0  5.2 Seattle                 
  7  3   1 14.4  5.4 Carolina                  23  4   0 13.9  5.2 Buffalo                 
  8  7   1 14.6  5.2 New Orleans               24  4   0 13.8  5.3 Washington              
  9  3   0 14.6  5.2 Minnesota                 25  8   0 14.3  4.9 Arizona                 
 10  8   0 14.5  5.2 Green Bay                 26  6   0 13.6  5.2 Oakland                 
 11  5   0 14.2  5.3 New York Jets             27  4   0 13.8  5.0 Cincinnati              
 12  5   0 14.1  5.4 Chicago                   28  7   0 14.0  4.8 Kansas City             
 13  5   0 14.2  5.3 Dallas                    29  6   0 13.7  4.9 St. Louis               
 14  9   0 13.9  5.5 Pittsburgh                30  3   0 13.8  4.8 Detroit                 
 15  4   0 14.5  5.0 San Diego                 31  7  -1 13.0  4.0 Cleveland               
 16  4   0 14.1  5.3 Atlanta                   32  9  -2 13.7  3.4 Houston                 

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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