2008 Week 2 (14-15 Sep) Results for the National Football League

prob rnk winning_team        actual pred    rnk losing_team         actual pred

 69%   4 Pittsburgh              10 34.2,    32 Cleveland                6 17.9
 62%   7 Arizona                 31 26.6,    28 Miami                   10 17.6
 61%  11 New York Giants         41 26.6,    29 St. Louis               13 18.6
 61%   6 Green Bay               48 29.6,    26 Detroit                 25 23.3
 61%   1 New England             19 26.7,    22 New York Jets           10 19.3
 58%  12 Denver                  39 28.9,    19 San Diego               38 25.3
 54%  21 Tampa Bay               24 22.7,    20 Atlanta                  9 20.7
 54%   3 Dallas                  41 21.6,     2 Philadelphia            37 19.5
 51%  13 Tennessee               24 20.5,    24 Cincinnati               7 19.9

 49%  23 Washington              29 22.8,    16 New Orleans             24 23.1
 47%   8 Indianapolis            18 23.2,    17 Minnesota               15 24.5
 46%  18 Carolina                20 20.4,     5 Chicago                 17 22.6
 45%  10 Buffalo                 20 19.6,     9 Jacksonville            16 22.2
 41%  27 San Francisco           33 18.8,    25 Seattle                 30 23.7
 35%  30 Oakland                 23 13.5,    14 Kansas City              8 26.9

  results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
               50%-59%  60%-69%  70%-79%  80%-89%  90%-99%     100%
                9 0.82   6 1.32   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00   0 0.00

  total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected):  15   9   8.7 1.03

  actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
  actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
  actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)

NOTE: exact predicted scores are not released until after game time.

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